Stockchase Opinions

Veeral Khatri JP Morgan Chase & Co JPM-N BUY Dec 08, 2017

He loves US banks in general. The outlook for US financials for 2018 is that there are a lot of positive things happening. Rising interest rates are very good for banks and their net interest margins. Deregulation is going to alleviate some of the cost pressures. Also, it looks like tax reform is getting to be a closer reality. This is trading at only 13-14 times earnings. You get paid a nice dividend, and they are buying back shares.

$105.930

Stock price when the opinion was issued

Financial Services
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BUY

It's the higher for longer trade. Banking is the best non-tech sector. Banks don't need rate cuts for financials to thrive.

TOP PICK

Is large and profitable. The CEO led the bank through 2008 and has made many good moves over the years. A long-term holding and the best US banks he owns.

(Analysts’ price target is $270.16)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 22/24, Up 63%)

US economy did better last year than expected. Waiting for a pullback to add new client money. Best-in-class US bank. Very strong balance sheet and management team.

BUY

The best. Still his choice today. Learn this lesson from him: stay with the best-run business in the industry, management that has the most skin in the game and knows how to create value. Winners keep on winning. 

WAIT

Wonderful bank and CEO. Conservatively run. Premium bank, and you're paying a premium for it. Wouldn't buy at this valuation, but definitely a go-to name he'd like to own if it corrected a lot more.

HOLD

Her top choice in the financial sector.

DON'T BUY

Friday kicks off bank earnings season, a sector that has been crushed, because Wall Street expects a downturn in the economy. JPM is down from 14x to 11x, and shares from $280 to $210, -7.48% today alone. An incredible fall.

TOP PICK

Flagship US bank. Dimon has done a spectacular job. Pristine risk controls. Trading ~13x PE. Either #1 or #2 in all of its major businesses. Still growing and gaining market share. Core holding in any portfolio. Time is ripe to buy the best, you don't have to go down the food chain. Yield is 2.73%.

(Analysts’ price target is $266.16)
DON'T BUY

Financial sector offers great promise, though it's reacted to current markets by pricing in a potential recession. Slower economic growth would not be good for banks. Absent a recession, with consumer confidence returning and unleashing M&A, the sector provides a good opportunity.

Don't value it on PE. Instead look at price to book, and it's expensive at 1.8x. Less expensive options include BAC and C.

BUY

Strongest broad-based financial. One of his larger positions.