
NYSE:HD
It has been one of the best stocks in the last years off of the bottom of the markets in 2009. It has been suffering lately partly because of the increase in the interest rates that has started to take the shining off some of the housing related stocks. Also, the valuation probably went a little ahead of itself.
(A Top Pick Feb 14/17. Up 32%.) This is really a play on a resurgence on the housing market in the US, which is growing very nicely in most major states. The millennials are starting to buy homes. This company is growing at twice the growth of the GDP on same-store sales. They've been able to grow their dividend north of 20% a year for the last 5 years.
Spending a significant amount buying back shares. This company is in a great spot. One of the few retailers in North America that is not impacted by the on-line phenomena. Most purchases is on an “at need” basis by contractors. It’s very insulated from the on-line phenomena. Valuation is getting expensive and is trading at a premium multiple to the market at around 24X. One of the few retail companies you can buy without worrying about Amazon or some other online retailer. He would like to see a pullback before stepping in.
They are continuing to benefit from a strengthening housing market. 3% of their buyers are professional buyers but represent 40% of their sales. They are focusing on servicing the pro builder. He thinks they can continue to benefit from the housing market recovery.