Stock price when the opinion was issued
Interest rates cuts are stalling, so shares are -7.74% the past month; housing turnover and the weather have been bad. Tool sales are down. It reports tomorrow, but he will buy after that report. He has faith, because when the street was shorting this in 2008's housing crisis, HD gained market share and bought back a ton of shares.
Last September, he sold and took profits. Shares are trading ~24x forward PE, for 5% EPS growth. Valuation's expensive. EPS growth rate expectations have come down. Cautious spending by consumers, stock's slipped below 200-day MA. Long-term inflation is dampening the DIYers, sluggish home sales. A name to own early economic cycle, and we're about mid-way through now.
Spending a significant amount buying back shares. This company is in a great spot. One of the few retailers in North America that is not impacted by the on-line phenomena. Most purchases is on an “at need” basis by contractors. It’s very insulated from the on-line phenomena. Valuation is getting expensive and is trading at a premium multiple to the market at around 24X. One of the few retail companies you can buy without worrying about Amazon or some other online retailer. He would like to see a pullback before stepping in.