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This company does not hedge production, so it is very sensitive to gold prices. Have rising production because they have projects in place and lower excretions (?) and she likes that part of it. One of the few gold names that she does hold. She is not expecting a sharp increase or bounce back in gold from here.
Earnings were not that great last quarter. Found out that production was lower but, at the same time, costs were lower. This is not in an ideal situation. They are having some difficulty in Argentina and that is going to lower production for 2014. Have had some grade problems with the Red Lake properties.
It is very important that this holds its lows here. Assuming gold can stay in this range, and he thinks it probably will, this is not an expensive company whatsoever. If you started selling off the component parts, this would trade at a higher level. The trouble is, there is no money flowing into gold right now. It needs to get through the next month or so because there is tax loss selling in this sector.
Your thoughts on the growing deficit between Japan and the US and will gold eventually make its way back up? Doesn’t think this has any relationship with US and Japanese relationships, etc. Gold is a sector that will do its own thing. It is not subject to conspiracies or to any kind of strange event at all. It is only subject to the lack of new high-grade deposits. At these levels, companies like this are trading very well. Good for a long-term hold.
He rates this is a B-. Likes its balance sheet. Cost of production is very low. Going to produce 3 million ounces this year. He included a gold stock in for inflation protection. Was up 20% in January. Pays a 2.4% dividend. They’ll probably win Osisko (OSK-T), which will be a good deal. Still producing good cash flow. The sector has been beaten up so badly that it is probably going to bounce in 2014.