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Gold bullion is negatively correlated to the stock market, so if you believe the stock market is going or is in a bull market and going to continue, then gold is probably not your best place to be. The stock is attempting to base and break through the $30 level, but so far has been unsuccessful. The last low at around $24-$25, has been taken out to the low. This is in a downtrend. If you own, he would look for an oversold bounce and get out.
Probably the best large gold company. Switzerland is having a referendum vote, where they want to bring back the gold standard back to Switzerland. There is quite a big groundswell of support. If this happens, there are estimates that there will be a lot of gold buying. Feels that gold bulls are grasping at straws sometimes. He doesn't own any gold positions.
Been under pressure as gold has for the last two months. Not sure how long it will take to run its course. Interviewed management a few weeks ago and depending on the timing of the various cap-X, they may be in a position to increase the dividend in the first half of next year if gold prices don’t fall further. It is his top choice in the area, although he is not that eager for this sector.
Biggest gold producer globally and has a great growth profile. Bringing on Elinore in Quebec over the next couple of quarters. Also, bringing on their mine in Argentina. With new assets there is always the degree of risk on expectations. He would be very comfortable owning this name. (See Top Picks.)
One of the huge changes that are about to take place in the gold market is that the main market making is going to go from London to Shanghai. Chinese are increasing their imports of gold and they don’t allow exports. Have tons of US dollars and he thinks they are going to try and protect the value of what they have. One of the ways they do that is by owning gold and seeing it go up in price.
He doesn’t own any gold. This is probably one of the better run companies in Canada. With some of the curbs on imports in India, that might be a bearish case on gold. China is the largest consumer of gold, and data recently showed that Chinese demand was down 18%. Also, as the Fed continues to taper, interest rates should be rising higher.
He likes gold. It is too early to say gold has hit its bottom. You see gold basing here on a 5 year chart. Gold is approaching a very strong buy here. This is his favourite in the group. It is ending its CAP-X cycle so you are going to see pretty strong growth in cash flow.