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TSE:G
He is staying the course. In the short term, gold bullion holders are in the hands of short term speculators and hedge fund managers. Long term investors are going to look for gold in the form of bullion or Gold Corp. He does not know where the price of gold bottoms out. He sees a slow and steady increase in the price of gold. The US may accelerate the printing of money.
This is like a lot of the gold stocks. Chart shows a long downtrend from late 2011. If you are a trader, there is support at around the $25 level. If you are going to trade a stock like this, he would be inclined to wait for a bounce and for confirmation using things like momentum indicators such as stochastics.
What option strategy would you recommend for this? He is not a gold bug. Remember that as a buyer of options, time is your enemy and as a seller, time is your friend. If he were buying options on this, it would be because he felt the risk on would be a bounce. He would be more inclined when there was something event driven, rather than just buying an option and hoping to make his money back or make a profit. If you own the stock, you could sell options on it.
It has only been above the 200 day moving average twice in the last 10 days. Gold bullion moved 1st and now the producers are starting to chase. There is a bit of a gap between the two but probably the producers are a better value right now. Attempting to break the monster size downtrend. It is seasonally strong to be in gold at this time of year. Soon as it starts making lower highs, you want to be out.
Technically it does not look good. Chart is on a downward trend and has just broken through a new low. Seasonality, the weakest month of the year for gold is October. Normally gold stocks weaken through until the middle of November and then start to bottom and move higher. (See Comment under Gold.)