Enbridge (ENB.TO)

The 4.7% yield is attractive. Reading the reports on the street, everybody was happy with their growth plans, and more specifically, comfortable with the ability to pay their dividends.

At best, this is a Hold. He still doesn’t like it. A lot of these big Canadian utility pipelines have done US acquisitions, and the way the Cdn$ has moved, it has worked against them in the short term. His bigger problem is valuation. It is basically trading Debt to EBDA above 6 times. Earnings are growing, but the dividend is a 4% yield. They have something like $2.25 in estimated earnings this year, and are basically paying out 100% of earnings in the form of dividends. They also have a high debt ratio. Growth is only about 5%. Also, the PE multiple is still above 20.

The last time he recommended this was about 2 years ago when the stock took a real dive. Subsequent to that, the company got back up to its usual high valuation. It is now starting to roll over. It really doesn’t have much in the way of upside potential. Wait for another set back, or buy in slowly for the next 6 months where you might catch a nice low. Dividend yield of 4.7%.

Energy infrastructure is the largest over-weight in his portfolio, because production of both oil and natural gas in North America has doubled in the last 5-10 years. Not only has production doubled, but it is going completely in the opposite way that it used to. We built all these regasification terminals on the East and West Coasts to bring in LNG. We built all these oil offloading terminals on the Gulf Coast to take oil into the Midwest to refine it, and now oil is going the complete opposite way, as is natural gas for export. This creates a tremendous opportunity for these infrastructure companies. They are undertaking the largest capital project in their history with the line 3 replacement.

In Q2 they missed, due to an outage at Syncrude. Line 3 is being delayed. What is good is that they got permitting for Line 3 in many other jurisdictions, and thinks it goes in on budget and on time in the 1^st half of 2019. Trading at a very compelling valuation, 9% 2018 estimated free cash yield, versus 7.7% for its peers. He models 10% annual dividend growth. Dividend yield of 4.7%. (Analysts’ price target is $62.)

This has underperformed the sector of pipelines and mid-streamers. A good company, but has a fairly convoluted structure overall, which has created a lot of confusion. Some of the bigger money managers are really questioning and worried that they might come back to market to raise more equity. Because of that, the stock has been under pressure.

This has a dividend yield of 4.8%, the highest it has been since 2001. It got punished with the oil sector, and because of all the politics involved. This is a growth business. They are going to grow the dividend at double digits for the next couple of years, and thinks it can continue to grow at double digits beyond that. (Analysts’ price target is $62.)

Usually utility stocks, like this, do well in the summer, from April through to September of each year. It hasn’t really shown through this year. Technically, it established a downward trend and recently broke down below the support level. You are probably better off to look for opportunities elsewhere.

(A Top Pick Sept 21/16. Down 9%.) Out of favour and is not quite sure why. During this time, they did the Spectra merger. Looking at all the major energy companies globally, including infrastructure, this is now the 8^th largest. It is the largest energy infrastructure in the US. Now is a very good time to be picking it up. Dividend yield of 5%, and they have a growth target of 10%-12% a year for the next 8 years. The bulk of their cash flow is covered by long-term contracts.

Enbridge (ENB-T) or Inter Pipeline (IPL-T)? Both are out of favour now, but are 2 of the better pipeline stocks you can be invested in. Has long admired this company, which tends to be a little more expensive over time, but you are paying for very high-quality management. They’ve done some job of deploying the resources. Both companies have fairly well defined CapX programs going forward. You could probably expect more rapid increases in dividends from this company. Both stocks would be vulnerable to a rising rate environment.

She likes it at this price. The yield is close to 5% and it rarely provides such a high yield. Likes the Spectra acquisition, which gave them exposure to North America in natural gas. They’ve indicated they can grow their dividend 10%-12% through 2024, a pretty attractive growth rate. There has been an overhang because they want to do this line replacement project. The last piece of regulatory approval they need is in Minnesota. They’ve already got approval from Canada, Wisconsin and North Dakota. The pipeline is already in the ground, but they want to replace the pipe and make it larger and add technology. Once they get that in place, they will be able to almost double capacity.

He likes the pipelines generally. Over 5 years we came from much lower levels. There is a lot of resistance now. You will not see a sustainable move above those levels from $100 oil. There is value down into the low $40s. It has a good dividend yield. He likes the ZWU-T because it also has telcos and other regular type utilities and has a 6%+ yield.

Technically, this has just broken a support level today. The stock is in a downward trend, so there is downside risk technically. It has yet to show signs of bottoming. Historically, it has done well in the summer, but is just not doing it this year. There are better opportunities elsewhere.

Sell or Hold? The world has not been kind to pipelines recently. It is more psychological that they are tied into the energy sector, which has been a total disaster. He would hang in there. It is a utility, and he doesn’t see any cessation of oil running through pipelines. Well-run. They have no problem finding financing. We are going to need the services of the pipelines for the foreseeable future. Dividend yield of 4.96%.

A 4.8% yield. Some energy infrastructure companies are way out of favour. They can grow their dividend 10-12% over the next 4 to 5 years. 82% payout and it is not being reflected in the market. It is a dividend champion. A stale, low volatile stock. (Analysts’ target: $62.00).