
TSE:ENB
Pipelines? Canada is producing way more oil than what we can get out, so there is a long-term demand for pipeline capacity. Because of a tight Canadian market, they are expensive on a global basis. This one has made big US acquisitions, because US companies are cheaper. The outlook for projects in all these companies is very strong. You should be fine in any of them.
A great level to buy this. After they reported, they hadn't reconfirmed the guidance for dividend growth, so there was uncertainty. There was speculation they were going to have to do an equity raise, which they did. With the Spectra acquisition, their capital program is massive so it’s a highly leveraged company. Adding equity at the level they did was the right thing to do. He bought more when it sold off. A great company to own.
This business is a disaster. It's a challenge to make money owning it. Despite what many say, it is sensitive to oil prices. Moody's downgraded it meaning they are flirting with the idea of being below investment grade. It’s difficult to see where growth is going to come from. The 4.9% dividend yield is meaningful, but the valuation is of a growth company. There’s a lot of old money sitting in this because it’s been a great place to get yield. That continues to keep its valuation sky high, but it’s like the Titanic and very difficult for it to move around and grow.
Has a little bit of this, but his view is that 1) it might be acquired, and 2) it is always this company versus TransCanada (TRP-T). Right now he prefers TransCanada. You need to understand that Canadian pipelines are still in the utilities camp, even though they have growth embedded in their business plans. They are quasi-bond proxies. Right now, bond yields are going up and investors are going to wait to buy utilities.
All these interest sensitive stocks have been under pressure lately. There were some rumbles on this one as their debt was getting too high, yet they had a nice analyst day. They raised capital and said they are going to show double digit dividend growth for the next 5 years. He is quite positive on these kinds of names.
ENB-T vs. IPL-T. Oil pipelines are not going away and pipelines are safer than rail. The question is where interest rates are going because people buy them for the dividend. He believes rates are not going up very far so the yields remain quite compelling. A Pipeline should be a key part of every portfolio and ENB-T would be his preferred because it has been so beaten up and the yield is higher.
Longer-term interest rate is what is going to affect this. Short-term rates doesn’t really affect them. He likes the company. The dividend yield of 5.3% is very assured to grow in the high single digits, if not the low double digits. If it even grows 8% a year for the next 5 years, you are looking at an 8%-9% yield, and the stock won't trade at that amount of a yield, so you will get some capital growth.
People love to hate it. The biggest pipeline company in North America. Most of its distribution had been oil but an auction this year made it bigger in Gas. They are selling some assets they bought to bring down the debt. Line 3 is in bad need for replacement into the US and if that goes ahead it will be good for the stock. (Analysts’ target: $60.00).
The company has been able to clearly demonstrate that there is still a little bit of a capital overhang, but in terms of where capital markets are, it is not multiples of billions. They should be able to really fund their growth program through the vehicle as they can lay it out. Dividend yield of 5.4%. (Analysts' price target is $60.)
Enbridge (ENB-T) or Inter Pipeline (IPL-T)? Looking at the long-term track record of dividend and earnings growth, this is by far is the best. It’s been pretty weak after their big acquisition. A lot of US shareholders were selling shares, and then the Shorts got into it and really started Shorting it. There were concerns around the balance sheet and the company was selling off $3 billion worth of assets. A very capital-intensive business. This is the national champion and Best of breed in Canada. Prefers this one.
This has been a tax loss selling target. There has been concern over their debt, funding of their dividend growth, whether they would be able to continue to grow at 10%, line 3 regulatory approvals, funding for their projects. Thinks it has gotten oversold and is a bit of a coiled spring. 2018 Line 3 should hit a lot of regulatory milestones. The main line volume outlook should probably clear, and he models a decent growth rate over the next couple of years. Trades at a 9.2% 2019 free cash yield, which is cheap for this. Dividend yield of 5.4%. (Analysts’ Price Target is $60.)
Why is there such a disconnect between the flat earnings trend in the last 4 years, the high rising debt levels, and that they have an extremely generous dividend policy? A lot of people are asking the same question. This one is not on his "favourites" list at all. The political situation for this company and TransCanada (TRP-T) is that the politics of the world have become very negative for large pipelines. He thought this company's Northern Gateway was doomed from the start. They are not paying enough attention to the political aspects and the political environment. He would not recommend this.
She likes the Spectra acquisition they did as it diversified them into the US and international gas. They issued $1.5 billion in a new equity issue amongst 3 private institutions, so the overhang on their funding requirements has been alleviated. Dividend yield of 5.4%, and have confirmed dividend growth of 10% annually to 2020. (Analysts' price target is $60.)