Enbridge (ENB.TO)

He has no idea where oil is going to go. There are so many competing forces. In the next recession we will see oil go to $20 - $30. In 2018 he guesses it will be between $50 and $75 a barrel. He likes pipelines more than exploration companies as they are less reliant on the price of oil. He would not be adverse to adding ENB-T at this point.

It is one of those great Canadian companies that fell on hard times. Pipelines are not getting completed as fast as the market expected. They have projects coming up that support their growth. The stock got tanked because of concerns about raising equity. They fixed the balance sheet. This is wonderful – better than a bank. (Analysts’ target: $60.00).

If you hold it, then continue. You will be paid to hold it and they are bumping up the dividend next year but there will not be capital appreciation so don’t buy it.

He likes it. It did well on the TSX today on the back of a corporate update they released yesterday after the close. They acquired SE-N earlier this year and it was the largest acquisition in their history. This is now the largest utility in North America. Their update last night increased the dividend 10%, announced a private equity financing, and maintenance of their investment grade credit rating. They are scaling down their capital project plans over the next few years. We should see more good things coming out of this company.

Inter-Pipe (IPL-T) or Enbridge (ENB-T)? He likes both. Just bought this at $43. It has slightly more opportunity as they got hit so hard. Both are toll booth investments, but the street is typing this as an oil company. The yield is excellent. If he were being pushed, he would say he likes this one better.

This normally does very well from approximately the middle of January until approximately May of each year. Technically the stock is not looking good. It is in a distinct downward trend. There will probably be some support at around $40. Watch this between now and January, when typically the stock has a nice little upside move.

PPL-T vs. ENB-T. He prefers TRP-T or ENF-T. ENF-T yields almost 7% and has higher growth expectations than the parent, ENB-T. It is down at the moment. TRP-T is natural gas weighted and he believes it has a brighter future than oil.

Has been Short this for a long time, but recently covered his positions by buying Calls. They have a ton of debt, and for the last several quarters, have been hitting negative free cash flow of about $1 billion or more, while also paying a dividend.

Has been a poorer performer this year, down about 20% or so. It comes on the heels of making a large acquisition. Up until this year, this was largely an oil based pipeline company. They bought Spectra Energy which diversified them much more into natural gas pipelines. Took on a lot of debt doing it. He doesn’t believe the dividend is in jeopardy, but it is now a “show me” stock. They are having an investor day in a few weeks, where he hopes there will be more information. Yields about 5.5%, the highest yield it has ever had. Believes the dividend is safe. If you are a value investor, you are buying a great company with growing and excellent income at a good price.

They bought the Spectra assets, and the US shareholders looked to unload their shares, and the stock started to move sideways. There is a little concern around their ability to fund projects moving forward, possibly leading to issuing some equity, perhaps sell off some projects, but ultimately they’re guided towards 10%-12% dividend growth through 2024. This is on sale now, and it doesn’t go on sale very often. Dividend yield of 5.2%. (Analysts’ price target is $60.00.)

Has been a little frustrating. Despite the slow incline, it has been pretty orderly and not choppy. We are getting close to a place where some interest will come in, but it might have to go a little lower. The action in late 2015 and early 2016 was pretty significant, and we are not that far away from it. You might be in the ballpark right where it is. There might be a 10% risk from now to the downside, which might be a little higher than what he would like. Prefers Inter Pipeline (IPL-T).

Trying to get producers to market, and the producers have amalgamated and improved things, but the overall effect is not really helping. A very inventive and innovative company. It’s the most aggressive of the Canadian pipeline companies. 5.5% dividend yield.

One of the world’s largest pipeline companies, and a leader in North America in oil transportation. A great, long term company. Has a fair bit of growth projects coming at them. Part of the issue is debt. People are worried they are going to have to raise more equity. There is a chance we could see an equity issue in the next year. With that overhang, the stock may just be going sideways. At these levels, it looks like reasonable value, but don’t expect much upward movement until there is more clarity. If you already own this, you are probably safe in just sitting tight. Dividend yield of 5.5%.

There’ve been negative estimate revisions recently. Ranks 210 out of 700 stocks. Sales were down 39% year-over-year, when they reported on Nov 2. Earnings were down 22%, and estimates have been shaved by 3%. PE is 18X for 2018. Thinks you can find other stocks with rising earnings and free cash flow giving you a better return.

A stock people want to stick in their portfolios in the hope that the price will gradually go up. In the meantime, they are getting the dividend. It had some performance issues lately and the stock suffered. He would prefer something like Fortis (FTS-T), Canadian Utilities (CU-T), Pembina Pipeline (PPL-T) or Keyera (KEY-T), which have good dividends. Dividend yield of 5.5%.