EnbridgeENB.TOCOMMENTOct 03, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 01, 2026. Market Open.
Liquid pipelines business, with some gas transmission in midstream (that's where the upside is). Provides 20% of US gas consumption, and 25% of feed gas for LNG exports. Those 2 industries seeing tremendous growth. Rising global demand for LNG, and NA will supply that with ENB perfectly positioned. Likes it here, he'd buy.
Overhang: Line 5 mishap with negligible environmental impact, but Michigan's trying to shut it down. Odds of that are pretty low. ENB will have to spend $$ on this and pay fines.
Probably this one. Spending likely to be stronger in terms of infrastructure spend on pipelines. Valuation's more attractive than it's been for a while. He worries a bit about Line 5 in Michigan, with permits and pushback (will ultimately get done).
He bought some on the financing deal. With all the infrastructure spending, there have to be more pipeline expenditures going forward. Somewhat more defensive.
It is another defensive stock with over a 5% yield and has growth at these levels. Blackstone is knocking at the door and could buy some assets from them in the US. He likes the new CEO appointment.
On defensive stocks in general he looks for companies with good cash flow to manage with which they can make counter-cyclical acquisitions, raise dividends and survive market downturns. Buy 11 Hold 9 Sell 2
Excellent, very-well-managed company. Great financial discipline. Nice dividend of 5.5%, tax-advantaged over bonds. Expected EBITDA growth is ~5%. Payout ratio ~65%, not much room for dividend increases (~2-3% a year). Highly capital-intensive, fair amount of debt. Cost of debt going up makes it hard for valuation to go higher.
More attractive are companies with dividends that may be lower, but growing rapidly.
Maintaining the dividend is not a challenge, and it will continue to grow. Under pressure because of the assumption that peace will come to the Strait of Hormuz. But the space ran up in the first place due to the conflict. Just look at the chart. Big capex program, growth in various businesses.
Blue-chip company, ballast for your portfolio. Buy, put it away for the dividend. His firm has owned for ~27 years, and they've been happy campers reaping the income.
Yield is a bit lower than some of the others. Results were largely in line, market reaction may just be due to whipsawing from Iran war. As well, not immediately proceeding with an expansion. Still a very good name, though he owns PPL for its size and growth.
Any of Canada's 4 major pipelines are good investments for the long term.
Energy infrastructure is the largest over-weight in his portfolio, because production of both oil and natural gas in North America has doubled in the last 5-10 years. Not only has production doubled, but it is going completely in the opposite way that it used to. We built all these regasification terminals on the East and West Coasts to bring in LNG. We built all these oil offloading terminals on the Gulf Coast to take oil into the Midwest to refine it, and now oil is going the complete opposite way, as is natural gas for export. This creates a tremendous opportunity for these infrastructure companies. They are undertaking the largest capital project in their history with the line 3 replacement.