
NYSE:DIS
This summary was created by AI, based on 12 opinions in the last 12 months.
Walt Disney Co. has shown both potential and challenges in its recent trajectory. While theme parks and cruising continue to be main attractions, the company's streaming business has faced significant pressures due to high investments that have reduced profit margins. Analysts express optimism with the new CEO starting, and the stock's valuation is considered reasonable, especially given Disney's strong brand and unique franchise offerings. There remains a consensus that with patience and the right leadership, the stock could perform well, with expectations for future growth in revenues and earnings. However, there are concerns about competitive pressures in media and the high operational costs associated with its theme parks, which could impact profitability during economic downturns.
There are many deals in the works, nothing has closed and there is regulatory risk. These potential deals are risky reasons to invest in Disney. However, looking at Disney itself, this is the best monetization machine in the industry. For example, when they bought LucasFilm, they turned Star Wars into film, theme parks, TV shows, and consumer products. They’re also working on streaming, but there are risks with this. Aside from the sports franchise, they’re doing everything right. And the sports-related issues are well known by investors. The price consolidated for a while. It’s been rising again, but not too much. Disney is a discipline acquirer, so if the deals do come through, they will be good. However, he can’t buy the company at this time because media, as a group, is not showing market leadership. He will wait until the industry that includes Disney starts to perform better. Much of the recent rally in media is M&A premium, which is not a good basis for a long-term investment.
He likes this long-term. He took profits last fall. Their parks and studios are doing well, but ESPN is a worry with a lot of cord-cutting. That's why the stock has been stock the last few years. Disney is trying to acquire 21st Fox as a response. They had to do this, had to get into streaming. Can they execute well to go against Netflix?
(Past Top Pick, July 4, 2017, Down 1%) They have a high bid for 21st Century Fox and the rumour is they will get it. The biggest worries are ESPN and cable-cutting. So, the Fox purchase would solve many problems: it would make Disney bigger and ESPN smaller. Disney wants to be streaming content and not broadcasting. If Disney wins the right assets, meaning Fox, this will hit $125 in 2019.
(A Top Pick June 15/17, Down 0.4%) Market is focusing on ESPN losing subscribers. Have introduced their own direct-to-consumer product, so they can pull Netflix content and go directly to the consumer. Other divisions are doing incredibly well -- theme park, movies. Attractive at 14x forward earnings. Expecting earnings growth to come through next year. Lots of confidence in the CEO, having bought Pixar, Marvel and Star Wars.
Excited about it, despite cord-cutting trends which Disney has survived. Their takeover of 20th Century Fox positions them very well to better broadcast their content (has a huge library now) to, say, India and Europe. Fantastic CEO. He's a long-term holder of Disney, despite the slump of recent years.