Crescent Point Energy Corp (CPG.TO)

Big strong name. Great assets, but he is not a big fan of senior management. Their stock issuance is junky. They love capital markets, and he thinks the market is getting fed up with them. Wouldn’t own this.

Very large company with good balance sheet, making large acquisitions and using equity offerings to finance it. This is the only issue he has. The things they have acquired have been very attractive. There is a great deal of hedging. He likes the assets and how they are executing.

A little bit better than its peers because it went into this oil price decline with a very healthy balance sheet, and are 30% hedged at $93 for 2015. Mechanically, the company is doing really well. Have been growing their production and have the Torque asset which continues to add inventory. However, at $75 oil, the payout ratio goes to 154% and their cash flow per share declined by 18% in 2015 over 2014. Not a low-risk story any more. He owns a little bit.

One of his favourites. He has owned it forever. One of the premier oil companies in Canada. They have been skillful in buying acreage that they think is highly prospective and it has turned out to be just that. They have looked for companies that have similar acreage to acquire. They are looking at 7600 wells to be recovered through water flood. The incremental cash flow is attractive.

Has reached a valuation where he has started to nibble at it. Has a very good distribution. Used to depend a lot on their dividend reinvestment plan to finance it, but much less now with their production increasing. They have so much good land position where their future drilling opportunities are quite numerous, and have been very good at executing their strategies. Thinks they will continue to exploit their opportunities in the Bakken and Shaunavon areas. At these levels it is becoming a compelling price for a longer-term investor.

He is quite optimistic on the energy space in general, but you always need to be picking good quality companies. Forgetting about the dividend, he likes this company’s growth profile. They have done an extremely good job of executing and growing production, maintaining their costs well, consolidating large areas. They made a very good purchase in the Utica Basin in the US, which a lot of people were very suspicious of, and they proved the critics wrong. His only complaint is that they are serial acquirers of assets. Not necessarily a bad thing, but if they continue to tap the investing landscape in Canada to finance that growth, they have tapped the retail investor one too many times. They need to go down to the US investment bankers and sell their stock to Americans.

None of us really expected oil to go from $115 down to $74-$75. 5 year chart is showing that it has support. Is almost at the low of 2013 and below 2010. This also has a great yield.

Like this company and is one of his key holdings. It is important to pick the companies that have good balance sheets, good hedging positions and where the dividend is safe. This is probably one of the 1st ones he would add if he sees an appreciation in the price of oil.

Historically they have had to spend money on growing its asset base, property, plant and equipment and sustaining a pretty robust dividend. This decline in energy prices is going to test its ability to do both things. They have been able to do this by issuing new equity into the market. He questions if this is going to still be doable with the low energy prices. Consider looking for yield in other areas.

Feels the dividend is safe. They tend to hedge out part of their production to ensure that they can pay the dividend as well as fund their CapX. She is not actively looking to add to energy right now. She'd like to see crude oil prices stabilize. There are a few events happening at the end of this month, which will give her an idea of what OPEC tends to do. Also, there will start to be some draw downs in inventories when refineries come back up for the winter season. Also, believes Libya is ramping down somewhat.

Outstanding CEO. Likes the management team. Just reported and they are through 140,000 barrels a day. Dividend of 7.46%, which he believes is sustainable. Have done a lot of tuck-under acquisitions and thinks they will do more organic growth. Have pretty good core areas. They own their own infrastructure, so they own rail terminals and are shipping more than half of the oil they produce by rail to very specific refineries, where they get a good price.

Baytex (BTE-T) or Crescent Point (CPG-T)? He owns both considers both of them as core holdings. This is a light oil producer with a huge depth of inventory. This is a company that just never misses its numbers.

One of the pioneers in horizontal drilling and multiple fracing, and were one of the biggest players. If oil continues to stay weak, below $80, a lot of companies will be looking at cutting their distributions by 15%-20%. Thinks the dividend yield for this company is sustainable. Would buy any time the price is below $35.

Owns it for income. It has good quality assets. Dividend is well covered by cash flow even at current oil prices. There is no rush to buy a new position until oil prices go up again.

Baytex (BTE-T) or Crescent Point (CPG-T). Given his belief that oil is going to be in the middling range, you can probably put off your decision to Buy energy stocks for a few months. There is no urgency. If you are looking at a short-term horizon, 6 months or so, Baytex is probably the better one, because it is the heavy oil story. If looking at the balance sheet, debt to cash flow metrics, this one does stand up better. If he had to make a call, he would say Baytex because it has been less disappointing.