
TSE:CNR
This summary was created by AI, based on 40 opinions in the last 12 months.
Canadian National Railway (CNR) has been viewed as a foundational investment within the rail sector, with many experts noting its strong competitive advantage due to its extensive and irreplicable network. Despite facing challenges such as a freight recession and pressures from tariffs, analysts highlight that CNR has positioned itself well for a potential recovery, especially with reduced capital expenditures and ongoing share buybacks. Several reviews suggest that the current valuation, trading at historical lows, could present a good long-term buying opportunity, especially as the Canadian economy shows signs of improvement. While concerns about economic conditions remain, many feel that any positive developments related to trade agreements like CUSMA could benefit CNR. Overall, the sentiment leans towards cautious optimism, suggesting that patience may be rewarded for those willing to invest now.
(Covered Calls. He is playing the last half of the year by taking some option premiums in with he expects that these 3 Top Picks will hold their own or rise. Yield on the total return is pretty attractive. Thinks we could be in a flat market until the end of the year.) He is selling January $82 Calls. As of yesterday the price was $3 with an annual dividend of $1.45. If it rises above $82, you are going to get called away, which would give you a 7% yield in 5 months and a 4.6% yield if it stays where it is. If it declines, it can go all the way down to $76.39 (based on these prices) before you lose any money.
He hasn't bought it yet. He is watching it. Same for CP. Rails had some weakness due to the commodities crash. Shipment of basic commodities are down. Thinks that the rail story is still a pretty good story. Canadian exports has been increasing this month which is good for CP especially. He owns a US rail carrier called CSX. This is a sector that he likes.
Increased their dividend by 20% plus this year. Over the last 5 years, their dividend has gone up 13% annualized. The stock is down because of lower volumes of coal, grain and petroleum. However, volumes are up on intermodal and autos. Their guidance is low single digit earnings growth and he thinks that is still possible. Good value at this price. Dividend yield of 1.63%.
The majority of the North American rail companies over the last 4-5 years have been great growth businesses, not only from overall volume growth, but new industries like crude by rail. That has all slowed down. Rails had been trading, up until early this year, in the low 20s multiples which were at a premium growth. Have now backed off to about 17-18 times which is about the market multiple and the growth outlook is for about 8%-10%. He thinks they are fair value. Look for a pullback below market valuations as an entry point.
He is very interested at this price. Has owned shares for a number of years. It is his favourite rail name right now. It has gotten down to a point where he is fretting on his holdings, but it has bounced off a $71 level, and it is really attractive down here. He thinks this is generally a consolidation of gains that they have had over the last 5-6 years.
A buying opportunity. There are about 6 or 7 railroads in North America. The intermodal business has been a little weak. A well run company with incredible dividend growth over the years. It is safe and will continue to grow. The stock is off because the business is soft in a couple of categories. He just looks at it as a buying opportunity.
He likes the rails. They had a bit of a pullback. It is in reaction to the weak Q1. Canadian banks are trading at a premium to their US peers. He thinks the North American economy is strong and this bodes well for rails. Crude by rail will continue. Even though they are pricey, he thinks this is a good place to be.
She likes the dynamics of the rail industry. Barriers to entry are almost insurmountable. Consistent annual pricing gains. They have increased their market share in intermodal. Their operating efficiency is at the top end of the industry. They have the capability to get around Chicago which is a very congested area. The balance sheet is looking good. There should be continued share buy backs and dividend increases.
How will they do if a pipeline is not built? He thinks they will do better because that is where a lot of their revenue has been. Without a pipeline, it is the only way to get oil across the country. A great industry to be in, especially if oil turns around.