
TSE:CNR
This summary was created by AI, based on 40 opinions in the last 12 months.
Canadian National R.R. (CNR) appears to be navigating a challenging economic landscape marked by a prolonged freight recession and external pressures such as tariffs and geopolitical tensions. Experts suggest that while the rail network enjoys irreplaceable assets and pricing power, the current cyclical downturn in the economy is impacting volumes and investor confidence. Many analysts view CNR as more attractively valued than its peers, particularly given its recent stock price decline which is seen as an opportunity to accumulate shares for the long term. Despite mixed short-term performance predictions, the majority of experts believe in the resilience of CNR's business model, its historical share buybacks, and dividend growth as indicators of potential recovery when overall economic conditions improve. The consensus leans towards a wait-and-see approach, with recommendations to consider averaging into positions on dips.
CN vs. CP It's surging today. Rails are good--they are the economy. CN is more of a commodity shipper and commodities are in demand. Both CN and CP will be hit by the weak grain harvest from lack of rain. He hopes CN wins the battle for KSU. (Didn't comment much on CP.) There is integration risk in buying KSU and they will need to borrow money to close the deal, but this is a short-term problem and it's worth building a network to Mexico.
CP today increased their offer to buy Kansas City Southern He owns none of the rails here, but owns FedEx and has long liked it and its management. This battle will go on for a while. Even if CP wins, it'll likely be a year before the deal closes, and CP will be worth $90 billion, on par with rival bidder CN. CN will still have bigger revenues than CP, while CP will carry more debt if CP wins the battle. So, CP would win the battle, but lose the war. It'll be interesting to see how much synergy CP can generate if CP wins. The short-term winner will be KCS shareholders.
CN vs. CP Easy. Go with CN. Latest news is a letter saying that the merger with KSU is not in the public interest. If the merger happens, it will be accretive long-term. If not, CN remains attractive, trading at 18x 2023 earnings while growing at 11%. At times, he's a CP guy, but here he'd pick CNR. [Note: some audio problems]
CP vs. CNR Owns CNR. Numbers positive over the last little while, but the KSU acquisition may hamper them going into next year, with the stock moving sideways. Rail industry is great: limited competition, hard to duplicate, good pricing power, sweet spot of transportation. KSU acquisition will enhance their business. Forest fires are affecting the backlog, but this is short term.
If they did buy KSU, it would be a slight plus. If they don't, it wouldn't take away from CN's story. They have one of the premier network of all North American rails. If you believe that economic expansion continues, CN is well position. His only problem with all the rails is the slightly higher PE than he'd like to see. But long-term, CN is good to hold. He would buy this at $115, though, not now.