
TSE:BB
This summary was created by AI, based on 16 opinions in the last 12 months.
BlackBerry, now primarily a software company, particularly in the automotive sector with its QNX operating system, is experiencing a significant transformation. While the stock has seen impressive upward momentum recently, especially with a strong quarterly performance and increased guidance, several experts express caution regarding its high valuation compared to its growth prospects. The stock has transitioned from its legacy business, but it is still viewed with skepticism due to its competitive landscape and mixed feelings about its economic moat. Several analysts highlight the stock's volatility and its status as a 'fallen champion,' needing to deliver consistent results for sustained investor confidence. The general sentiment oscillates between being cautiously optimistic about its current trajectory and wary of potential overvaluation.
About a month ago, the stock was moving at a triangle. It was consolidating at a tighter and tighter range. The thing with a symmetrical triangle is that you never guess which way it is going to break out. In this case, it broke downwards. $8-$9 is its support and he probably wouldn’t look at this until it gets there and proves that it can bounce off of that level.
Earnings will be coming out tomorrow. This company has done a very good job. You’ll have to see where sales go from now on and you’ll have to see a big uptick from the institutional side as opposed to the retail side. Very good product. The issue now is, can they move into the enterprise space and do they have an uptake from their traditional customer base.
He cannot figure out how this company is going to do down the road. He is on the sidelines. If there is a big miss, those shares will come down hard, but if it is good news, then there is certainly some upside. He can’t get his head around the service business. He wants to see a few quarters of positive momentum.
Doesn’t expect you will see a whole lot of excitement in the next 3-6 months. New products are out and the company has sort of come back from the dead. Now it needs the next thing. It’s going to be around. It has the cash. Has some good products. It can compete but the global industry is different as there are more players out there. It’s a tough business.
With all the Short calls out there, what would happen to the stock if they happened to meet or beat the streets numbers and also what would happen if they don’t? If they beat the street numbers, there would be a Short Squeeze resulting in a significant upside for the stock. If you are going to play this game, make sure you are doing it with money you can afford to lose. Speculative. At current earnings you could make an argument that Blackberry or Apple have the appearance of value stocks but, do they have the fundamentals in terms of stability.
(A Top Pick Sept 7/12. Up 102.28%.) Sold his holdings at $18 for a 156% gain. Will be reporting on June 28th with the next one on Sept 28th, so it will be interesting how the sales will be. He thinks it will be pretty good. What is interesting is the massive Short positioning in the stock and if there are decent numbers, given that the stock is still trading at a decent discount to Book, there could be some exciting upside. Speculative.
Very difficult for anybody to predict what this company will look like 5 years from now. He has a very hard time being positive or negative on this stock.