
NYSE:BAC
Likes the US financial space in general. Valuations are below long-term averages. Has been beaten up a little with regulatory issues and low interest rates, but those will change. Hopefully, next year, the regulatory issues will be less and interest rates will be higher. The economy should have picked up even more so. He prefers Citigroup (C-N) and J.P. Morgan (JPM-N). (See Top Picks.)
Own 10% of all deposits in the US. Great retail branch brand. Has great investment banking in Merrill Lynch, and a great asset management business along with a great brokerage business. US growth, global growth, and a better housing market will help. Not expensive. This could easily trade at 2X Book. Great time to buy at these levels.
His preferences are J.P. Morgan (JPM-N) and Goldman Sachs (GS-N). J.P. Morgan has a better dividend, so this is what he would rather stick with. However, this bank has performed admirably, and he is a big believer that the US banks are dramatically undervalued. As interest rates rise, they’re going to get free money out of nowhere.
It is still early. There is not a lot of catalyst at this point to banks growing. Margins are anemic because interest rate curves are flat. Capital markets are starting to do well. You have to look at credibility of management. A black eye resulted when an error on their tier one capital was found. He would pass on this for these reasons, but also on most of the US banking industry.
Very well run bank, and he thinks they will get it turned around, however they have taken a punch to the chin on their branding. If he were making an investment today, he would wait to see the sentiment get a little bit better. Would like to see them executing a little bit better. Would prefer something like Wells Fargo (WFC-N) instead. Also he would be more interested in focusing on an asset manager as opposed to a bank or insurance company that has strong business and wealth management.
$4 Billion mistake on the balance sheet created an opportunity. Likes it. There is a lot of low hanging fruit in the company. Trading at a big discount to book. Good exposure to loan growth, capital markets, housing market and the structure of the yield curve. Short term interest rates should start to move up. Stock is cheap.