Alimentation Couche-Tard (B)ATD.B.TOCOMMENTMay 29, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Dec 07, 2021. Market Open.
EPS of 68c matched estimates; sales of $20.90B missed estimates of $21.21B. EBITDA of $1.64B beat estimates by 3%. Supply-chain optimization could let Couche-Tard maintain fuel profitability across its key markets for the rest of the fiscal year. US fuel margins declined sequentially (down 3.9%), but increased 2.5% compared with last year, an inflection point for the metric. If the company can keep this cadence of growth for 4Q, it's likely that US fuel margins may remain around mid-40 cents per gallon for the year. Canada might remain in the low-teen cents and high-single digits in Europe. Better control management allowed US inside-the-store margins to expand. As for M&A, recent acquisitions seem to remain on track, with the company reiterating its ambition for a friendly merger with Seven Eleven now that the possibility of a management buyout is gone. The stock is up, but this is likely more due to ongoing discussions with Seven Eleven rather than the quarter. But we are comfortable with the results.
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Very strong business - founder led & owned. Exception creator of wealth the past ~20 years. Has owned shares since 2014. Very good consolidator of convenience stores. High quality capital allocation skills. Recent 7-Eleven M&A is interesting, but depends on the final price that is settled on. Would recommend holding and/or buying.
A very well-run business. They’ve been a consolidator of convenience stores and gas stations around the world. This has grown aggressively and has done a great job adding value with their acquisitions. Not a cheap stock, but has lagged the market in the last year or 2, and hasn’t gone up at the pace that it had historically. He is starting to pay a bit more attention to this. At the right price, it is something he definitely would buy.