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TSE:ABX
Stock has been disappointing. Largest producer of gold. Challenge is to grow production. They had a management change and they are more focused on cost controls. This is positive to some extent. Some of their projects have come in late. She prefers G-T. She likes gold. We could get a pullback in gold depending on the resolution to the fiscal cliff
Thinks gold can go higher for any number of reasons but that is the crux of the problem. Gold can go higher but what has happened globally in the last 5 years is that if you want to own gold, you can just buy the metal itself. Gold companies have operating issues and they’re sometimes in difficult political environments. This is such a large company, that it basically has to run to stand still effectively.
This company has been a laggard. The large-cap gold stocks are starting to rally and they will lead over the small caps. Expect the current gold rally will continue for a while. You can either buy the big caps or the iShares S&P/TSX Global Gold ETF (XGD-T), which gives you the basket and you’re not left with a one stock that didn’t participate.
People have been a little bit mesmerized by the copper side. Sectors that are being touted in China, particularly housing, will absorb a fair amount of their copper storage. If you are going to hold gold, this is one of the big players and is down significantly.