Magna Int'l. (A) (MG-T)

PE higher than that of LNR. Integral to the NA auto parts business. Parts go back and forth over the border so often, not sure how you'd keep track of the tariffs. Both Trump and Canada see auto parts as important to the US. Wouldn't be surprised if affected by tariffs less than other industries.

They're turning around governance. Well-managed. But car sales including EV are poor. But he worries that the general economy gets worse. Is on his radar though.

Well run with a fine geographic footprint. They have their hands in so many parts of the carmaking business. A great industrial company. Pays a good dividend and the PE is cheap. He sees growth, given steady demand for cars for the next 1-3 years.

Tough spot. He wouldn't own now. If we potentially head into a recession, this will be one of the first companies impacted. Business economics are quite good, positioned well with the EV transition.

Best days are behind. Returns on incremental invested capital have taken a step lower recently, reflected in valuation. Content growth stable, with a downward bias. Sell on strength, though no immediate urgency. Melting ice cube, so even a big drop in valuation would probably not tempt him.

Q2 was a modest miss but the market is concerned about forward guidance with a slower ramp up in EV's. They are trying to offset this with lowering costs and reducing Capex. There is no real growth in the forecast but sales should start to turn at some point. It is very cheap and he sees growth returning. He would buy in the $50 range by writing puts.

In general, he avoids auto sector due to interest rates and consumer. Lots of change in the industry, lots of risk. EVs are causing turbulence for the whole ecosystem. Sector is not investable right now.

Doesn't like the car industry at all. If you really need to be in the sector, better to own one of the suppliers than the manufacturers. Low margins, tough business, EV back and forth caused a lot of disarray. Cyclical. Stay away.

Struggling all year. Even automakers that have been doing well for a while have seen the wheels fall off their stocks. Broken down again. Dead last, rock bottom in his Canadian large-cap RSI universe.

The car business will have long-term trouble. None of his kids knows how to drive; they get around by Uber instead (good for the environment and finances). Most of the time, his car sits idle.

A bit of recovery in some value names recently, rotation out of the crowded tech trade into everything else. Not sure if being boosted by any specific catalyst. Guidance not strong, issues with getting new contracts. Arguably cheap valuation.

Capital intensive, variable input costs mean not a lot of control over its destiny, not sure of the strength of its capital allocation. 

On a 3-year chart, you can see how it's clearly broken support. On a 5-year chart, there's a bit of support where it is now, but even that's struggling. Possibility for it to go down to Covid lows. There's always another bus.

It is fully integrated with good management. It is doing the right things but is cyclical and therefore volatile. It is OK to buy now at a lower price but it is not for them.

He owns no car stocks which are consumer discretionary. That sector weakens as the economy does. Also, car prices keep rising and car sale projections are too optimistic. A good company that pays a decent dividend, but the environment is too hard.

EV industry has slowed after tons of hype in 2023. Shift to EVs is measured in decades, not in years. See his Top Picks.