
NYSE:UBER
All growth. Category leader. Mobility, and has expanded into delivery (food and beyond). Freight platform. Premium subscription service for special treatment. Being a platform company means that it benefits from scalability and network effects. Significant barriers to entry. No dividend.
Advertising is now meaningful revenue. Financial performance has turned the corner. He expects earnings to grow 21% at a compound rate from 2023-26. Trades at 30x next year's earnings; pretty undemanding given growth prospects.
YOY gross bookings +16%, revenue 8% and adjusted EBITDA 79%, beating the street. In an economic slowdown, more people will work for Uber Eats, thereby lowering costs and prices. Also, the Uber One membership means $0 delivery fees. The food delivery business has been sticky.
Expectations for recent quarter were high, he wasn't unhappy with the results. Now profitable. Growing into its valuation. Long-term opportunity, especially in advertising. May exit its freight division, as it's just a distraction. No dividend.
Driverless cars may disrupt its model, but could also be an opportunity. Don't be afraid of disruption. Disruption to good companies is all about opportunity.
Earlier this year, Elon Musk spoked the ride-share sector when he promised to then failed to unveil robo-taxis. For driverless taxis to work, you need mass demand which Uber has with its base of subscribers--Uber can fill these cards with riders. So this is a tremendous opportunity for Uber, though won't impact near-term earnings. It currently trades at a 32x forward PE (38x actually) with 30% forecast EBITDA, which sounds right. That forward PE is the lowest since Uber became profitable. RSI is 63 now, not overbought despite rallying. This will go north.