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CIO at Odyssey Capital Advisors
Member since: Sep '21 · 284 Opinions
At a $200 billion capex, what is their ROI? Free cash flow is declining, but AWS is re-accelerating with a 24% return (21% expected). They overhired during the pandemic and just cut 16,000 jobs. AI is driving 22% of AWS's growth. Time will tell how these numbers play out, but are facing the right way.
They still have margin strength, still have 330 million subscribers and their ad-tier business will continue to accelerate. Also, their cash flow generation has been more positive. He gets it--slower engagement. But these positive drivers will accrete long-term.