CIO at Odyssey Capital Advisors
Member since: Sep '21 · 239 Opinions
Likes it because they are growing near 9% in the professional segment, though it has a large DIY business.
Is up 25% this year. Likes it for lower interest rates, and their homes are affordable (70% of their homes cost under $400,000) during a housing shortage.
They cut forecasts and changed their CEO. This continues to get punished (glad he sold it last spring). An aging population is cutting deeply into their margins. Recently, they were talking about breaking up the company. Let's see if the new CEO can right the ship.
They beat on the topline, but missed the bottom, because China was -15%, though it was expected. Organic sales were fine and reiterated guidance. Trades at a too-pricey 24x forward. He doesn't like staples, but continues to like this.
All paths lead back to NVDA: the power centres and grid. Have great free cash flow. It's hard to fight this stock, that it's gone up too much. Still is a great opportunity.
There were concerns over weak retail numbers, but AWS some re-acceleration, this profit centre. There's upside to come, though there's a slight concern with Walmart taking market share in retail. Amazon has many levers to pull, like ads.
Today, they reported their best quarter ever: 15% revenue growth, subscriber growth 14% and they beat. They can invest grow at the same time. Their library is rich. It's expensive, but streaming live sports over the holidays will be a major catalyst. Has a 30% growth rate which justifies the high valuation.
Just reported a very small topline miss, but beat on the bottom. Share are up nearly 50% this year. They focus on Millennials and GenZ, nicely. They will continue to grow.
They report next Friday. Is up 15% this year and trades at 22x forward PE. Q2 in-flows are solid at $51 billion. They have $10.6 trillion AUM. Trades at a premium, but boast solid margins.
Is a reliable compounder who always beat and raise, with reliable earnings growth. Solid. They raised their dividend 12%. Good upside to come.
Is up 19% in the last month, 9% in the past week. Fee-related earnings are set to grow up to 20% compounded through 2029 by which time they will likely have $1.5 trillion AUM. They're buying Barnes who are busy in industrials.
This has definitely been on an uptrend, 9% the past quarter. Data this week certainly helps: PCE was soft, GDP was in-line, PPI is soft, all pointing to disinflation.
They report next week. Revenue growth this year is 22% and EPS 32%. They know how to monetize AI.