Cult company and stock. It's been successful, but his firm's analysis doesn't apply to this kind of company. Aspects of its fundamentals are dislocated from what people are paying for it. 90x enterprise value to EBIT, whereas GM and Ford are 6x and 5x.
Viewed as tech innovator instead of car company because technology and software is better than competition.
Better hardware, software and more data than competition (legacy car companies).
Tesla has twenty moving parts in car vs. combustion engine with thousands of parts.
The top 5 senior growth/tech stocks: #3 Tesla still lacks meaningful competition until Ford builds their entire e-car line in a few years. Millenials like EV. This has pulled back hard from last month's highs, but he sees a bounce driven by China easing up on American enterprises ahead of the Beijing Olympics.
TSLA is his favourite EV stock, which should do well in China. TSLA is now manufacturing in China, and so skirting around import costs and being more competitive. Chinese government could make sure a Chinese company, NIO or another, wins the market.
Peaked in January at about $900, consolidated, and broke out in the last 2 weeks. Be careful. Not unreasonable for a pullback to $1000. If you believe we're in a strong market and want a piece of the leaders, this is one to consider. Volatile, with risks attached.
Tesla was already a market darling, but it became more a star after it reported that deliveries jumped 20% from Q2 to Q3 and soared 70% from a year ago. This is huge as supply constraints hit every industry, including cars. Wall Street loves Tesla. Morgan Stanley, for instance, just boosted its price target to $1,200, citing expanding capacity, lower costs and service offerings. It goes without saying that ESG winds will continue to propel Tesla further. Skeptics point to its PE of 350x and warn of market euphoria, and they have a valid point. Tesla remains a stock for those with strong stomachs.
Even after all these years, Tesla doesn't face much competition. It delivered only 241,000 cars in Q3. Maybe they can sell a million in a year, but that's still a fraction than the other carmakers. And yet their market cap is higher than the entire car industry combined. Undisciplined investors are not bound by the normal rules of investing--and they're thriving. Good for them, he says.
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/10/25/tesla-hertz-ev-deal-signal-to-rental-car-fleets-its-time-for-electric.html
Close your eyes and buy. It can still go more parabolic, but he wouldn't take profits. Compare it to an EV company, they'll say that Tesla has better battery storage, so it's a real EV battery play vs. an EV company. Either way you perceive it, Tesla wins. If they announce another split, people will buy it, even though there's no fundamental reason to buy it. Elon Musk has so many levers to pull, so you can close your eyes and buy it. A huge tailwind are subscription services worth $7,00-10,000; batteries are a small part of revenue now, but it will tick up. Think of Apple's services. Hitting $2,500 in a few quarters? That's a ludicrous speed.
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/10/25/tesla-hertz-ev-deal-signal-to-rental-car-fleets-its-time-for-electric.html It joined the $1-trillion club today. It saw a massive breakout today, despite all the haters, which impacts what people think of the fundamentals. Tesla will definitely contribute to the de-carbonization of the electric grid. He won't short Tesla, but he's very skeptical of this at these levels. We're probably in the last phase of this bull market. The stock will probably go straight up. (Fundamentals don't matter.) This could hit $2,500 in a few quarters, and then he'd sell it.
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/10/25/tesla-hertz-ev-deal-signal-to-rental-car-fleets-its-time-for-electric.html There's been a lot of criticism over the high valuation. The Hertz news is very meaningful to potential future sales and the deal puts EVs on Main Street. It's an extraordinary day, because it puts e-cars into the hands of those who wouldn't have driven a Tesla. The technology and driving experience are extraordinary. It's an important day. 40% move in 25 sessions for Tesla. Ultimately, it could go to $2,500, but not in the next few quarters; shares are way overbought. He doubts it'll fall to $500.
Lots of ups and downs. Biggest concern is high expectations for growth, and what if that growth doesn't come. PEG ratio is high. Prefers the lithium miners or a lithium ETF, such as LIT. Increasing competition. All the major car manufacturers are planning to get into the space in a meaningful way.
TAN: Tesla, Amazon & Netflix Few stocks have been derided like Tesla: Musk is going to jail, it can't make payroll, the cars blow up, etc. but all such claims were bogus. Tesla is an engineering marvel whose time has come. The bears and shorts were wrong.
Tesla Inc is a American stock, trading under the symbol TSLA (previously TSLA-Q on Stockchase) on the NASDAQ (TSLA). It is usually referred to as NASDAQ:TSLA or TSLA