
NASDAQ:TSLA
A fantastic story. A trailblazer. But you know what happens with the pioneers. Those are the guys with the arrows in their backs. Trades at a forward multiple of about 117 times. The margins that it is targeting is 25% and to get this, they would have to ramp up production by more than 15 fold and keep margins at just in the 12% range just to touch the current valuation. Grossly overvalued.
Tremendous cars. Interesting design for a car if you don’t need to travel 600 miles. Scores high in consumer reviews. It is a concept story. You have to believe they will be a number 4 car maker and it is possible. The problem is that it is a great story that is growing quickly but you could give back a quarter of your investment very quickly (volatility). They will have challenges moving into the numbers that everyone has in mind for them.
This one is so news driven that it is going to have its ups and downs outside of the seasonality period. Auto industry has done really well but in the summer months, it tends not to do so well. This stock has gone up parabolically and it is difficult to know when it is going to start to peel back down. When it corrects, it is going to correct hard. We are coming up to the period when automotive stocks tend not to do well across the board. If you own, it would not be a bad idea to start to take some profits.
Sold his holdings after looking at the initial results of their sports car. Their sedan is coming out with really good reviews. His sense is that the electric car is going to morph and change quite a bit. There are other areas that he feels he can invest in that doesn’t make him as excited about electric cars as he should be. Electric cars are not where he wants to put his money.
Would buy the car before the stock. It is a company that values each car as a million dollars yet cars sell for $90k. It has to grow into the stock price. Be on the sidelines for now.