Timothy Seymour
Founder & CIO at Seymour Asset Management
Member since: Mar '21 · 48 Opinions
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Stock Opinions by Timothy Seymour
COMMENT
IF the economy is expanding, why are small caps underperforming? He uses the IWM as a proxy or hedge to emerging markets. IWM is in purgatory since rates peaked in the spring. No, IWM isn't falling off a cliff, but the future of smallcaps is unknown.
investment companies / funds
$227.955
Unknown
COMMENT
USD outlook It is THE most important chart, especially when the Fed is in play. June 2014 into mid 2015 saw a 25% move in the USD and it destroyed some asset classes, though okay for equities. What will the USD when the Fed offers more direction? The USD is correlated with volatility.
Unknown
BUY
He's excited by Apple's role in healthcare, but it won't move the needle. It's at new highs today and picking up momentum. Services won't move it further, but the old-fashioned iPhone will.
electrical / electronic
BUY
Ford announces production cuts due to ongoing semiconductor shortage How often do we need to hear the news of a chip shortage hitting profitable, well-run companies? The valuation is great and so is their positioning. Car demand won't go away. Investors need to be patient. This is an amazing opportunity.
Automotive
COMMENT
If the economy is expanding now, this could be a great economic opening, so why are small caps underperforming? He uses the IWM as a proxy and sometimes a hedge to emerging markets, because EM growth has been often tied to U.S. small-cap growth. IWM is in purgatory ever since rates peaked in the spring. No, IWM isn't falling off a cliff now and there could be re-acceleration, but the future of smallcaps is unknown.
investment companies / funds
DON'T BUY
It surged today. The Chinese government won't let up on this company, but they send their message to these Chinese tech companies and investors, and the fines were paid. BABA has $85 billion in cash and will likely make another payment. With BABA, raise the risk level and lower your price target amid downgrades. Historically, China proves they will benefit their big companies and that their markets are wide open, but they have lain a heaver hand on BABA. He'd still be cautious.
0
STRONG BUY
The CEO is starting to put her stamp on the company, supporting their workers. They announced today they will raise wages, and shares rallied. Let's see them get into e-commerce and battling Amazon. The valuation is attractive. Most importantly, the company remains in transition and he is a firm believer.
COMMENT
September outlook Markets had a hot August while the VIX slid. Smooth sailing? No. Banks offer hybrid growth + value, though yields have pulled back in recent days. With an OPEC+ meeting coming up, oil looks promising. He's cautious about positioning. The Nasdaq has outperformed the S&P by 8% in the last 3 months, so people are questioning where growth will be this fall.
Unknown
BUY
PVH jumps 8% on earnings today This is a recovery of brands, not just from people wearing sweatpants, but Tommy Hilfiger and Calvin Klein lines. The businesses are run better and run well in the new digital economy with higher gross margins. The stock has underperformed with technical levels at $110-115 to watch. The stock can hold these numbers.
0
BUY
They are meeting demographics (Millennials) that are buying homes during this boom. And it could be takeover target.
Developers (Real Estate)
BUY
Trades cheaply to the best-in-class in banks. Likes their capital return program, while their M&A and sales businesses are humming alone. Better than JPM.
HOLD
GM is expanding its massive recall of its Bolt e-car. Stock is down 3% after hours. He's not happy with this news or the 24% move down going into this news, mostly due to the semis shortage hitting the car industry. GM's move into EV and self-driving cars--the Bolt is not a flagship part of this. The recall costs are significant, yes. GM has a track record of reducing costs especially in losing businesses in Europe and U.S, and yet generate huge cash flow. It's frustrating that the market punishes GM on news like this, but doesn't reward it for giving fantastic earnings. GM trades at 8x earnings.
Automotive
BUY
The USD is at 9-month highs and there are fears of a housing bubble in China. Still buy emerging markets? He loves EM, so he hates to see what's happening in China. So, look at India instead. India boasts the best demographics, arguably, and there's a major move into EV technology, fintech and green businesses. The rupee is holding on against the USD. The balance of payments is also strong. stocks. INDA continues to make fresh highs. Blame the move in China to their regulators He hopes China is playing the long long game; the short game has been frustrating. Southeast Asia is very resilient. India is not that dependent on China and is self-reliant.
E.T.F.'s
BUY
It reports next Thursday. They've done a great turnaround at the Gap and Old Navy stores, and customers are loyal. However, he doesn't like the current valuation after a big move.
specialty stores
