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Timothy Seymour
Founder & CIO at Seymour Asset Management
Member since: Mar '21 · 94 Opinions
Rating
Big Win
Win
Neutral
Loss
Big Loss
Stock Opinions by Timothy Seymour
COMMENT
The CEO stunned the street by announcing major costs and inefficiencies
Automotive
It will take CEO Farley a while to turn this around. Cost issues are nothing new. They cut jobs in Europe and will streamline production there to operate more like the U.S. or South American operations. Ford has been trading at a discount to GM because of this. Ford, though, has outperformed GM a lot because their EV story is very exciting.
$12.930
Unknown
BUY
Great value and good PE. Their core software business deserves a higher margin. It's a higher-growth story than people think.
BUY
They missed a little on free cash flow, but dividend pays around 8%. Capex is inching higher and the street is watching this, wants more drilling. You don't buy an energy stock because you expect oil to surpass $100.
BUY
The market is oversold, no doubt, but Apple is an outlier in megacap tech, but it hasn't off like the sector (or the market) has.
electrical / electronic
BUY
Lowes trades at a discount in terms of PE, while Home Depot is at a slight premium. He likes Lowes for their commitment to digital-commerce and customer loyalty.
misc industrial products
PARTIAL BUY
The downward move in Adobe was overdone, extraordinary, though software companies are in a tough spot now. You want to be in places like this, at least picking them over.
computer software / processing
PARTIAL BUY
It's making money though shares have been destroyed. Software companies are in a tough spot now. You want to be in places like this, at least picking them over.
Technology
COMMENT
No question that the world is embracing EV's, but Tesla's market share and leadership is very much in the stock price and high PE.
Consumer Products
BUY
As a 5-year hold Yes, because it's a global leader in ride shares. Its compound annual growth rate is probably 25% over the next 5 years. It's doesn't matter if it's down 80% from its highs. Lyft is well-positioned for the future. They're freezing hiring (though still want drivers) for the rest of the year. This doesn't change demand for rides. He added to his holdings today. We've started to see more drivers and rates declining.
0
COMMENT
The U.S. 10-year yield has fallen from 3.45% to 2.57%. The curve gets more inverted by the day; history indicates a recession, bot how severe will it be? There was weaker data out of China and the ISM today. We need to see more U.S. economic weakness for the Fed to pause--which he doesn't expect nor want.
Unknown
DON'T BUY
This has been grinding at current levels since February and hasn't challenged their 100-day moving average in 1.5 years. Yes, he gets that they're at a strategic crossroads between e-commerce and social media--and it's an interesting position--but it hasn't paid off.
Technology
BUY
There was a billion more in free cash flow this last quarter than the street expected. The 787 is their most profitable jet.
Transportation
BUY
Share buybacks are enough to continue to drive shares. OPEC this week is the major energy story.
integrated oils
SELL
Wipe your hands clean of this stock, though retailers, especially department stores, have all slumped. Today, Kohl's abandoned deal talks.
department stores
DON'T BUY
Look at its underperformance, down almost 5% today as stocks were up. Semis have been underperforming the S&P for the last 20 days by roughly 13%. It's in stark contrast to the bond rally. An ugly day. It may be okay for interest-rate sensitive tech stocks to rally today, like tech, but the move in semis is downright scary, which this reflects the epicentre of the economy.
E.T.F.'s
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