
TSE:TRP
Most analysts would consider this as a Buy. The market is starting to favour growth, and he doesn’t see a tremendous amount of growth in this. Trading at 20X forward earnings, so relative to the market it is expensive. There is an opportunity to drop down assets into the MLP (Master Limited Partnership?). Certain pipeline catalysts could be Keystone XL approval, but doesn’t think that is going to happen any time soon. Opportunities to take liquids and gas to the West Coast are another possible catalyst. Not a screaming Buy for him though.
Has been out of this for awhile. Found valuations really excessive. This and Enbridge (ENB-T) were trading with 20+ earnings multiple. In the past they have always traded at 10 or 15. Growth is about the same where it has always been, single digit. If you are a long-term investor, he would be inclined to hang onto it because there is some growth going forward. Good dividend yield.
It is difficult to build a new pipeline now, even though they are demonstrably safer than rail for moving commodities. It is nuts to move oil by rail and eventually people should come to their senses. If you have a pipeline you have something worth protecting. TRP-T has a good record of raising their dividend year after year and there are great barriers to competitors.
Pipelines are an essential part of the whole energy infrastructure and he doesn’t see the production side easing off that much. Part of the problem now is that we still have big oil sands projects coming on, and they are going to keep on coming simply because we have already expended $1-$2 billion. This is going to be in business for a while. Dividend is okay and is likely to grow.