
TSE:TRP
Can’t see a stock split at $60, although it could happen. Have already increased their dividend this year. Expects the dividend increases over the next couple of years will be above the 4% average of the last 5 years. This is primarily because earnings and cash flow are going up at a better rate than in the last couple of years.
The reason behind the recent run is probably because of Kindor Morgan (KMI-N) doing a lot of consolidation and this company was rumoured as a possible takeover. He thinks this is unlikely. He has owned this for a long time for the income potential. If you own, consider taking some profits, but it is still a good holding.
A lot of people have been waiting for the KXL pipeline decision to come down. Thinks there will be a lot of rumours about Kinder Morgan (KMP-N) taking the company over. You should never buy a company on the basis that it might possibly be a takeover candidate, but on the basis of it being undervalued and a good business. This company has gone quite a ways up, and is now selling at around 25X earnings, 2.5X BV. Has a yield over 3%, but is not at a level where he would be comfortable buying it today. Somewhere around $50 would be a more comfortable point.
There has been an increase in food inflation, and he thinks that is going to spell a rise in interest rates eventually. Wait for a better time on this. Sees their catalyst as the mainline reversal through Eastern Canada, but the valuation is rich. To add to his holdings, he would probably look at something under $50.
He would buy this under $48 and sell at about $57. Has been the unfortunate victim of a political hot potato, but you have to look out to 2017-2018, if 1) the Eastern asset comes on-line and 2) they can build out their West Coast LNG. Has exposure in Mexico to the infrastructure space. Have very large projects that are long dated.
What matters is the general direction of energy infrastructure in North America. When they first came out with the Keystone XL approval it was a $1-$10 billion project they were going to build. They’ve already built the southern leg from Houston to the Gulf coast. Now they have almost $35 billion in projects on the books, and Keystone is only $5 billion of that. This company has $12 billion of LNG gas pipelines contracted in BC alone. Yield of 3.82%.