Barry Schwartz Tourmaline Oil Corp TOU-T BUY Jun 03, 2025

Great margins and deep inventory to sell into many markets. Not growing as much as before, but stable. Offers a moderate return. A good natural gas producer.

It is the industry leader for natural gas production with decades of inventories and great margins. It is a stable business but not growing as fast as in the past at 6 to 7%. He prefers mid-streamers, pipelines and service companies, to producers. The mid-streamers have tended to give more ROE.

Cold winter weather has been good for nat gas prices. Wild card is AI demand -- what's the sustainable fuel that can keep data centres running 24/7? It's natural gas. Over the next few years, a fortune will be spent building data centres. Hopefully, with new administration in Canada, this name can benefit from the added infrastructure.

Earnings this week, he expects big increase to special dividend. Nice place to collect a growing income stream.

Her portfolio is quite concentrated; she'd add this if she could. Low-cost producer. Will need to see what's happening with egress of nat gas in Canada, which could bode well for nat gas prices and production. She owns ARX.

Unfortunately, fatality overnight; will have only a short-term impact, weak today. Despite the name, a natural gas company. Trades at highest premium relative to peers. Management and resource depth are solid. Backdrop is bullish for Canadian natural gas producers, but he'd prefer other names. 

He's a long-term natural gas bull; it's the fuel of the future, and LNG Canada is about to start. TOU has a good CEO and good inventory and pays a high dividend. That said, TOU is not his favourite nat gas stock though holds a lot of shares. TOU is more about dividends. TOU buys a lot of companies which creates an overhang and doesn't allow the share price to perform as well, so it lags its nat gas peers.

Likes its heavier weighting to natural gas. His view continues to be that nat gas will be the preferred energy play going forward because of increased demand growth for LNG. Well poised to benefit from that. Global shift to cleaner forms of energy will continue, and that includes nat gas.

Nice recent production and FCF beats. High-quality company. Diversified marketing portfolio. Are we in the sweet spot for natural gas as TMX starts to come online and Canada starts to export LNG? He thinks the answer is yes. Trading in line with peers, nice production and FCF growth. Balance sheet's in good shape. Nice dividend. Payout ratio is 90%, pretty safe.

Buy when down. Safe to put some $$ in right now.

Harks back to his view that total return is important. Natural gas is up ~50% from a year ago. With LNG Canada coming on, anticipates nat gas prices improving materially through the end of the year. Business fundamentals are best in class. CEO has been buying shares. Not a lot of flash, but they know what they're doing and keep growing earnings per share.