TFI International Inc (TFII.TO) Buy, Sell or…

TFI International Inc (TFII.TO)

130.05

-27.09 (17.24%)

as of Oct 30, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Closed.

383 watching

BUY

It is a trucking, packaging courier and logistics company. Some lines of business are doing well. They recently did a financing and launched on the NYSE so should benefit from it. They know how to acquire distressed assets and turn them around. They will have bad Q2 results but he would be a buyer here for sure.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Mar 18/19, Down 20%) It does quite well in his models. It is a candidate for purchase. we need to wait until the number of daily cases in the US for CoVid19 comes down.

TOP PICK

They bought all the other publicly trading trucking companies. It is a low organic growth business but they did 80 acquisitions since 2008. It trades at a 40% discount to the large US trucking companies. (Analysts’ price target is $54.44)

COMMENT

It needs to break firm resistance around $44-45 to reach $50, but it has fallen from $50 in the past. Hard to predict.

DON'T BUY

Technology will increasingly disrupt them and is highly economically sensitive. Steer clear of it. Yes, it's a well-run company, but the valuation and this stage of the cycle turn him away. Bigger logistics commodity will give them an edge over TFII.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

He is having a hard time with these companies. We are getting signs of stabilization in the economy. He would hope to buy it lower than it is today. Try to get it at $35. (Analysts’ price target is $53.00)

BUY

Asset light, lots of free cash. Rerating in the future. What gave him pause a year ago was that volumes were as good as they'd ever been. Can still grow organically and through acquisition. Good long-term buy for free cash flow, dividend growth, and compelling valuation.

BUY

Boasts 20% ROE, far ahead of its peers. A very good company. A consolidator in a fragmented industry (trucking). Pays a growing 3.5% dividend yield. It's cyclical, but will do you well over the long term.

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BUY

Really well run. Operations in Canada and the US. They make astute acquisitions and increase the dividend consistently. He thinks there will be an uptick in the economy and they will acquire more business in the future

TOP PICK

They just beat by 3%. A free cash flow story. Just raised dividends by 8% and buy backs. They completed 2 acquisitions recently. Cost cutting and buy back will be enough. It doesn't depend on a strong economy.

BUY

There's disruption in trucking with a shortage of drivers and the Amazon Effect. Will there be self-driving trucks later? TFII is well-run and will be okay in the long-run, though. It has a good market share.

BUY

Since 2002, TFII-T has tended to trade between 2 and 3 times book. Right now it is back down to 2 times, so it is interesting. He would think it has good upside potential and it is trading at a 10 year low in terms of book value. He would go with it.

DON'T BUY

A strong performer over the long term, but he's wary of it now. We're starting to see softness in the end markets; TFII is very economically sensitive and economic growth is slowing. Better to buy this when the economy is rebounding. As logistics grow more sophisticated, they have to invest more, and the bigger companies are better suited (can afford) for that investment.

HOLD

Has declined for 6 months. It's very good long-term, but has been under pressure the past year due to cost inflation in the trucking space (driver's wages). As long as the North American economy is decent, there are packages to ship by truck. Hold it for now or buy on pullbacks.

DON'T BUY

He was watching this until mid-2018, when it started a downtrend to the present. A series of lower highs and lower lows since then. In contrast, CN's and CP's charts are a straight upward trend.

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TFI International Inc (TFII.TO)