50% off Premium Yearly

TSE:TECK.B
The problem here is that coal prices are not doing very well and no one seems to think that they are going to have a recovery very soon. There is also a suspicion that they may be involved in another takeover. Seasonality has now peaked and she would expect that prices will now correct. During the summer might give you a better entry point.
Canada’s biggest mining company. If you want to play mining in a safer way, this would probably be the best. In his view, mining is not a safe business. Materials in general are very, very volatile. Any time you buy one of these, you have to think where commodity prices are going. Currently he has a pretty cautious view overall on-base materials. This one is trading at the bottom of its range and thinks the dividend should be pretty safe.
Technically, the chart is not looking too good. It is testing a fairly important long-term support level. Clearly underperforming the Canadian market. Well below its 20 day moving average. Coal stocks in general are not doing well and there’s no reason to believe that there is going to be a recovery shortly. Does have some positive things coming up later in the year. It’s a major zinc producer and zinc prices are looking pretty good and looking for a recovery later this year. Seasonally the stock does well from around October right through until at least the end of the year.
Copper has a good chance of breaking down through $3 and if it does, all these copper stocks are going to break heavily. You should watch the Copper ETF (COPX-N) which has a lot of copper names and if it starts to break be wary. This is a fine company, and what they do, they do very well. They are in a sector right now that he is not remotely interested in and may not be for years. Doesn’t feel demand in China is going to be there for a number of years. He is biased against having a full position in this company at this time.
Great company but it needs a rebound in commodity prices. Timing of that is really hard to judge. It depends on US recovery and a lot on Asian growth. Can be very volatile. Doesn’t think you will go wrong buying in the low $20’s as long as you are patient. It could be a 3-5 years story. We may not get another super cycle, but at some point, it will be able to crank up production and get better prices.
Would not be adding this or any of the other base metals to his portfolio. There are too many question marks out of China.