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TSE:TD
This summary was created by AI, based on 52 opinions in the last 12 months.
The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) has been subject to mixed opinions among financial experts following its significant run-up in stock price and improvements in operational performance. Many experts have highlighted that TD has recovered well from past issues, including money laundering penalties, with solid earnings reported across various segments. However, concerns about its current high valuation multiples have been raised frequently, as the stock trades at elevated PE ratios compared to historical averages. While some experts emphasize the bank's favorable positioning within the Canadian economy and growth potential, particularly in AI and wealth management, others advocate for profit-taking and cautious investment due to perceived overvaluation. The overall sentiment suggests that while TD remains a strong contender in the Canadian banking sector, now might not be the best entry point for new investors, with several experts recommending trimming positions instead.
Beat today, strong capital markets, strong trading especially in the US. Shrinking balance sheet to comply with US regulators. Earnings estimates for all banks have come up a lot. All banks will go higher if no tariffs and our economy stays good, though TD will probably participate least. In the penalty box.
If tariffs go on and stay on, credit loss provisions will go up quite a bit. Only buy if you feel tariffs aren't going to happen.
The issue was in the U.S. resulting in a big fine but that is now out of the way. TD now has an opportunity to get rid of businesses not giving a good rate of return and an opportunity to do a better job than other banks. It has more exposure to the retail side. Also volatility helps investment banking. TD is under the microscope.
With the money laundering scandal, she trimmed. Still has US operations, so will benefit from capital markets activity. Can focus on its Canadian operations. Kept it because of its very attractive valuation and yield. Can still grow in other areas; US retail represents only 25% of earnings. Very strong balance sheet, can use it to buy back stock.
Canada has 6 banks and the US has 9,000. TD should have taken warnings from the US regulator more seriously, before the regulators clobbered them with that penalty. TD should have changed their board and CEO faster and sooner; the market was upset with the lack of action and punished shares. Buying TD now at a discount and with the 3.5% dividend it pays is a bargain.
(Analysts’ price target is $87.44)Keep holding - there have been sweeping changes to the board with good potential. It sold its stake in Schwab for $10 billion so it is well capitalized now. It is trading at 10 1/2 earnings which is better than the other banks. TD had under-performed and if catching up to its peers that would give 10% upside as well as the dividend.
This is his choice for those looking for income. Used to trade at a premium, but now trades at 10-11x PE, an absolute discount to peers. Really good balance sheet, and shareholders will benefit. Schwab sale should net ~$20B, and most of that will be for share buybacks. Business won't grow, but EPS has really good growth potential.
Collect the dividend for 3-5 years while you wait for a multiple re-rating. That'll give income-seeking investors a better total return. Yield is 4.9%.
Will stick with it, still trading at a discount to peers, 10.5x PE vs. 11.9x PE. Investors are regaining some confidence recently with a new CEO, big board changes, including a compliance officer from JPM. Plus, it pays a 5% dividend yield. It has underperformed, but TD has more upside as it catches up.
During the Trump tariff sell-off yesterday, TD may have been the best performer among the Big Five banks, partly because shares are down far already, but also because they are diversified outside Canada. The more Canadian-exposed banks got hit worse. Nobody knows the impact of tariffs, but TD is in a better position than peers.
Yes, very safe. Payout ratio is ~53%, in line with the bank average around 54%, so put away that worry. The better question is do you want to put new $$ to work here right now? It'll go higher if Canadian banks go higher, and they will grind higher under friendlier regulations. If banks go up over the next year, TD will participate but move up less.
Relative to the group, this one's going to be in the penalty box for quite a while. Growth will slow due to extra compliance. M&A seriously challenged due to lack of targets in Canada and regulatory constraints in US. You're better with US banks here, or BMO in Canada.
If you own it already, you'll be fine to hold and collect your dividend. If it goes to $78-79, write some puts and oblige yourself to own it.
Board changes and accelerated CEO start date are steps in the right direction. Gave investors the right message about being serious and changing the guard. Market cheered that, but stock probably got ahead of itself.
Chose this Top Pick yesterday, and applauds the disciplined fiscal governance announced today. Brand tarnished on both sides of border, but it's fixable. New CEO can reset the strategy. He'd support divesting Charles Schwab. Very competitive Canadian personal and commercial banking franchise, and they may lean harder into this. Discount brokerage may become more competitive. Yield is 5.1%.
(Analysts’ price target is $83.73)
Canadian personal and commercial businesses are excellent and dominant. US business is a fixer-upper, and they will. Wholesale business is subject to the vagaries of the capital markets. Wealth management is quite good. Watch DIY investing, as it seems to be doubling down on growth aspirations. Liked the Schwab sale; using proceeds to buy back shares. Dark clouds are finally parting.