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TSE:TD
This summary was created by AI, based on 52 opinions in the last 12 months.
The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) has been subject to mixed opinions among financial experts following its significant run-up in stock price and improvements in operational performance. Many experts have highlighted that TD has recovered well from past issues, including money laundering penalties, with solid earnings reported across various segments. However, concerns about its current high valuation multiples have been raised frequently, as the stock trades at elevated PE ratios compared to historical averages. While some experts emphasize the bank's favorable positioning within the Canadian economy and growth potential, particularly in AI and wealth management, others advocate for profit-taking and cautious investment due to perceived overvaluation. The overall sentiment suggests that while TD remains a strong contender in the Canadian banking sector, now might not be the best entry point for new investors, with several experts recommending trimming positions instead.
Q1 was a much-needed low-drama quarter. Schwab sale. Market appreciated the quicker CEO transition. Wealth management good, strong capital markets. Still trading at a premium to the group, and that's not warranted because of growth limits in US.
All banks are at risk if economy darkens. But if economic environment is OK, he thinks BMO has the best upside.
Asset cap in US will be in place for a number of years; once it's eventually lifted, that will be an avenue for growth. US accounts for about 25-30% of earnings. Bank feels it can still grow in Canada. Valuation still quite attractive at 10x PE. Path back to growth will take a while. Yield is quite attractive too.
Likes TD a lot. Very undervalued at 10x PE. Potential for multiple to rerate in medium term. More upside as it distances itself from the overhang of regulatory infractions. All that should give you a better total return. He'd pick TD.
For BAC, even with deregulation in US, the big banks are already so large, it's hard to imagine they'd be allowed to get even bigger.
The big banks face challenges, because the homes bought during Covid, when interest rates were rock-bottom, are and will pay much higher rates. TD is very tied to home mortgages, so be careful. Also, they're restricted from growing their business in the US for 4-5 years. He sold it, because the future didn't look great. He bought more Royal instead.
Held up fairly well all things considered, as money's rotated out of large-cap financials. Support is around $74 with the December retest. Bumping up against resistance close to $86. That's the range, and we're waiting to see if it goes through. Financials have started to struggle, so this could go either way.
It was losing last year but is winning this year and in fact is the only Canadian bank up this year. He is hesitant about doubling a position at this point since it should go sideways.