
TSE:TD
This summary was created by AI, based on 64 opinions in the last 12 months.
Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) has demonstrated significant recovery over the past year following its past money laundering scandal. Although the bank has recorded strong earnings and benefits from a robust Canadian economy, many analysts consider its current valuation to be on the higher end, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios reaching levels beyond historical norms. Despite the impressive stock performance, experts suggest that the valuation may now be too rich, prompting some to recommend trimming positions or waiting for a more favorable buying opportunity. While TD maintains a strong position within the Canadian banking sector, growth prospects remain constrained, particularly in the U.S. market due to regulatory issues. Overall, while the outlook for TD remains positive, caution is advised due to potentially high valuations and limited growth avenues.
Don’t have too many Canadian banks in your portfolio. This is one of the better ones to have. People are concerned about bank stocks in general because of a flattening yield curve and their inability to grind out profitability, because the spreads are so low. There is also some concern about this bank because of auto loans in the US. If you have a 5-10 year horizon, banks are good places to be.
Like a lot of Canadian banks, it has US operations, which would probably be the one area he would be most excited about, in part because the US banks find themselves in a better environment than they do in Canada. Thinks there will be legislation changes in the US, which favours bank shares in general. The flipside is the constant buzz on the Canadian real estate market. This bank operates in the prime mortgage market. Doesn’t think you’re going to make a lot of money in any of the Canadian banks right now. He would much rather focus on banks internationally rather than domestically.
Historically this has a bit of a pullback just after they report their fiscal 2nd quarter results, which they just did last week. This is not a good time to be a buyer of banks in general. There will be an opportunity coming up. Historically they have a seasonal low around the beginning of October. It has a long-term support at around $58.
When the bad sales practices came out, they hit the banks. This bank admitted on their last quarter that they had no systematic issue. He would use that as an opportunity to buy. This bank had impressive numbers in their last quarter. Still trading at 11X earnings, and would be surprised if we didn’t see it doubling 10 years from now.
This has had its issues since the March 6 report on sales practices. They’ve had a few problems with their personal and consumer banking, which was really one of their growth engines for quite some time. The whole housing thing has brought down the excitement around the banks. If you don’t already have some of this in your profile, he would be picking away at it.
He likes US banking. This has a significant exposure and great success in the US, specifically in the Northeast. For US banks, he is more interested in those that went through the crisis, the ones that had to recapitalize and were trading at ridiculously low prices. Those banks today are having a reduction in the burden of regulations, a reduction in big multi-million-dollar finds, an increase in their ability to pay out earnings they are generating, but no longer have to save to build their capital base. TD may partially benefit from the regulations and an improving US economy, but it is relatively more expensive than the US banks, and there is less likely to be the same dividend growth.
Toronto Dominion (TD-T) or Royal Bank (RY-T) for a long-term buy? He is basically an investor in this one. It got off the mark before anyone else, in terms of getting a position in the US, and he thinks that is going to be very important. Has been a little disappointed with the results out of the US side, but thinks that is about to change.
He is not that excited about Canadian banks, but owns a small position in this one. He prefers US banks. He likes TD-T because 35% of revenue comes from the US. 12 times earnings. It might be an attractive entry point.