
TSE:TD
Banks in general have done well in Canada but not as well as in the US. CM-T had good results this morning. It is not reacting as well as it should do. Banks should do well into mid-April. If we get a couple of good earnings this season it will be quite positive for the banks. Banks are okay to get into now but he is not a big fan because of the level of indebtedness in Canada.
26% of its business is US retail and they own 41% of Ameritrade, which offers strength as well. It has pulled back, like all Canadian banks, and it is well-valued at this level. She expects TD to increase its dividend around the end of February, as they typically do in the the first quarter each year. (Analysts' price target is $79.78).
Announced a forthcoming $400 million write down on the US side of their assets. Some US banks took big write-downs because of the way they are being taxed. The US banks are the sector that benefits the most from tax cuts. They pay a lot of tax and their tax rates are going to go down a lot. In order to take advantage, there is some short-term house cleaning they have to do. The market realizes these are a one-time item so US banks literally have no impact from write-downs. Expects it will be the same for this bank. Going forward, there could be a pretty good surprise, as far as the impact on the tax changes for this bank. He would buy the stock here.
He is very positive. It has been his core bank holding for some time. The exposure to the US has been the main reason. About 50% of revenues come from the US. They will take a hit on next year’s earnings due to tax changes but then they will get a 20 or 30 cents benefit a quarter from their business. This still has a lot of legs.
Likes it for dividend growth higher than the other Canadian banks, and it has big U.S. exposure. Will benefit from higher interest rates and a growing U.S. economy. (Analysts' price target is $81.91)