TSE:TD

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD.TO)

171.48
+1.11 (0.65%)
as of Sep 18, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
2220 watching
0
BUY ON WEAKNESS

A key bank in her portfolio. Take advantage of the current pullback. TD is solid and secure in a highly regulated environment. TD has been impacted for its exposure to the US. The First Horizon deal won't close by the end-May deadline, but will be moved. Given the turmoil in regional banks in the US, TD can probably re-negotiate a more favourable deal. Canadian banks can't expand much in Canada, so the US is attractive. TD has a 10% interest in Schwab, which was hit in the current turmoil. Eventually, the sector will stabilize and these stocks will reverse higher. TD is well-run and pays a good dividend. She added to her holding during this turmoil the past week.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 22/22, Down 9.4%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with TD has triggered its stop at $79.50.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  When combined with our previous buy recommendation, this will result in a net investment loss of 7%.

BUY

He owns the five Canadian big banks. Although new mortgages will be down he is not particularly concerned about it. TD is more of a retail bank which is good in these times. Also it is one of the top ten banks in the U.S.

HOLD
Real estate exposure?

Not expensive at 1.4x book, yield of 4.2%, great capital ratios. US acquisition will probably go through, though it may be deferred. A big, but not massive, acquisition. Incredible US franchise, but ROE hasn't been as good as Canadian retail division. Execution of integrating recent asset management purchase will be key. Loan loss provisions can handle any housing mortgage issue.

PARTIAL BUY
TD vs. MFC

He's been taking some money out of MFC on earnings trepidation in Asian operations. He's been adding to bank stocks, and TD is at the top of the list with its US acquisition still being finalized. MFC was trading at 8x PE with a 5% yield, whereas TD is more expensive. TD has more growth potential. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 28/22, Down 6%)

Has performed relatively well vs. the index, as do the Canadian banks. People are concerned about credit risk as we face an economic downturn. Still likes TD. Pending is a massive deal with First Horizons, a U.S. regional bank that will make TD an even-bigger bank in the US.

DON'T BUY

Doesn't own any Canadian banks. Scale advantage, favourable regulatory environment. Further competition in the space erodes their moat. If he were to own any banks, the two that stood out when he reviewed their financials 3 years ago were TD and RY.

BUY

Valuation is in the middle among Canadian banks. Premium price-to-book and pays a dividend over 4%. TD remains consistent, therefore good as a long-term hold. Though, there will be slightly less capital appreciation vs. its peers.

HOLD
Canadian banks are in a tough space right now, with slowing economy and housing. Along with RY, gold standard of banks in Canada, and it trades at a valuation premium for that. It's always that tradeoff, valuation vs. growth & quality. If you're a long-term investor, can't go wrong.
BUY
Results were fabulous. Stick with the banks that continue to knock it out of the park. Happy to continue buying. He doesn't foresee a really bad recession in Canada in 2023. Banks can offset a lot of their mortgages. They do have exposure, but it's not as huge as you think. Live and die with wealth management and investment banking operations, so they need the economy to improve.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 24/21, Down 5%) He likes the insurance companies right now, as they have pricing power. Banks in US and Canada will struggle in the next year as interest rates rise. Loan loss provisions are already going up, job layoffs. Yield over 4%, and grows over 10% a year.
HOLD
He still owns. Banking industry is in very good shape in this country. Great dividend yield, trading at reasonable book value. Trouble is that net interest income is being offset by investment banking and such that are doing poorly. Longer term, will do well. Lots of capital to increase dividends or buy back shares. He's comfortable owning at these levels.
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly We again reiterate TD as a TOP PICK. During economic uncertainty Canadian chartered banks are a safe haven. Recently reported earnings again beat expectations. Revenue of $15.5 billion in the quarter was up 42%, allowing cash reserves to grow substantially while debt is retired and shares to be bought back. The dividend was just raised 7%. We recommend trailing up the stop loss (from $72.50) to $79.50, looking to achieve $100 -- over 14% upside. Yield 4.3% (Analysts’ price target is $100.21)
COMMENT
Rising interest rates should be good for banks but they are also dealing with more defaults. There is some recent support but if it breaks below $80, sell.
BUY
Good entry point is right now. On cusp of closing a transformational acquisition of First Horizons. Increases market share. Now the 6th largest bank in the US. US banking is very net-interest-margin sensitive, interest rates are rising, making lots of money. Flipside is US banking is more credit-risky, but it's adequately provisioned. Capital markets round out return. Low double-digit returns for decades, likely to continue.
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