TSE:TD

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD.TO)

174.75
+1.94 (1.12%)
as of Jul 15, 2026, 6:18:29 pm Market Open.
2223 watching
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Investor Insights
star iconJul 15, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 58 opinions in the last 12 months.

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) has experienced substantial growth in recent years, particularly following recovery from previous money-laundering penalties. While the bank's wealth management and capital market segments remain strong and retail operations are relatively stable, many experts caution that current valuations are high, trading at approximately 16x PE against historical averages of around 13x PE. There is a sentiment that TD is overvalued by about 5%, with calls to trim positions or take profits after a significant run-up. Additionally, despite robust record earnings in recent quarters, concerns linger regarding growth potential in the U.S. due to imposed asset caps, leading some analysts to recommend a wait-and-see approach before re-entering the stock. Overall, investor sentiment is mixed—while some maintain long-term confidence in TD's dividend growth potential, others see risk in the high valuation and lack of future growth drivers.

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Consensus
Overvalued
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Valuation
Overvalued
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RY
DON'T BUY
TD vs. BNS

BNS has been a perennial underperformer, he sold. Not tempted to buy the Canadian banks right now.

TD gave pretty decent targets of high single-digit growth over the medium term. Market doesn't believe them, stock remains under pressure. Worries about Canadian housing, economy, higher interest rates. A lot of the damage is already in the share price.

He owns NA. He looks for the best companies that have the best management and add value over 3-5 years, and doesn't worry about day to day stock prices.

TOP PICK

It is an attractive dividend paying stock with a 4.7% yield. It has dropped to third in the list of Canadian banks but is the most capitalized bank with lots of excess capital, $16 billion. It has a 1.6% share buyback program in place and is undervalued.    Buy 14   Hold 4   Sell 1

(Analysts’ price target is $93.83)
TOP PICK

Trading at 1.4x book, close to 10x next year's earnings. Great franchise, lots of capital. Will probably go after another US acquisition. Very diversified, which protects them in a difficult environment. Good time to buy, you'll do well. Yield is 4.78%.

(Analysts’ price target is $93.73)
TOP PICK

Very well run. Typically doesn't trade at a discount to peers, but it is today. Massive excess capital from failed acquisition gives it lots of levers to pull in a difficult environment. Over the medium term, good upside on multiple and earnings. Yield is 4.81%.

(Analysts’ price target is $93.73)
BUY

A top pick last month. Shares are attractive. Likes the banks. The overhang of the First Horizon cancelled deal resulted in TD holding a lot of capital. TD will expand more in the US, and maybe buy another company. TD will focus on Canada as immigration will increase more in the near future. TD used to trade at a premium, but not at a discount below 10x as it pays a 4.8% dividend (usually it's below 4%).

BUY

At a nice discount to adjusted book value. Needs to hold right in here where it is. Looks to be getting pretty cheap. Could drop a bit further, but getting to a level where he wouldn't worry. Yield is 5%.

TOP PICK

Pays a rock solid dividend and PE's are very low now and don't make sense. Glad that they didn't buy First Horizon. Canadian banks were unfairly sold off due to the US regional bank crisis. Earnings weren't great for the banks, though. TD's loan loss provisions weren't as great as expected, capitalization is great, and their dividend is safe. Take advantage of depressed valuations now.

(Analysts’ price target is $92.30)
BUY

Likes it. Too bad it had to give up on First Horizon. Good footprint in the US. Will have to grow organically, which will take longer than by acquisition. Banks with US exposure will have a tougher slog. But over the longer term, that's how they'll grow because it's such a larger market than Canada. 

BUY

He's getting a little more positive on Canadian banks. He added some TD recently after they cancelled the First Horizon purchase which is a long-term positive, despite worries of TD not growing in the US because of regulatory concerns. Their recent numbers weren't that bad. Their capital ratios are outstandingly good. They won't raise dividends, but they could buyback shares and do an accretive buy in the US. Housing will be a slight headwind, capital markets will slow down and loan loss provisions will rise--but we all know that. It trades at 8x PE and has wads of excess capital. You can do worse than wading a bit into the banks.

TOP PICK

Be cautious: stock might be breaking down, and he may have to sell. (Top Picks were submitted last week.) He'll give it a week or two. Potential to bounce, but keep an eye on it. (At this point, he likes the SU trade better as a Top Pick.) He only has 2% exposure. You always leg in, as it saves you from bad trades, which are part of the business. Yield is 4.88%.

(Analysts’ price target is $97.96)
BUY

One of the best-managed banks in Canada. Great acquisitions in the States. Issue is they're being hit on deposits with higher interest rates. Long runway.

BUY

Now has some $20B in excess capital. Good position to be in if they decide on another acquisition, it's a buyer's market. Could increase dividends, buy back shares. Nothing fundamentally broken. Should grow earnings and dividends at high single-digit pace. Good 5% dividend yield. Timely entry point.

TOP PICK

Likes the sector. Stock's attractively priced given overhangs of failed acquisition and SCHW issues. Attractive multiple, both historically and relative to peers. Lots of excess cash. Yield is 4.70%.

(Analysts’ price target is $98.18)
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1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

With a market cap of $150 billion and a valuation of 1.52x book value, Canada's second largest bank is a TOP PICK.  A US acquisition was cancelled, avoiding the US banking crisis, leaving the company well capitalized and looking for good opportunities.  Cash reserves are stable, while paying down debt and buying back shares.  It pays a good dividend, backed by a payout ratio under 50% of cash flow.  We recommend a stop-loss at $74, looking to achieve $96 -- upside potential of 16%.  Yield 4.3%

(Analysts’ price target is $95.77)
BUY

It has the largest capital base of all Canadian banks. It has fallen to third place, price-wise, related to the other major Canadian banks so is attractive to buy now. National Bank now has the second best P/E.

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