
TSE:TA
This summary was created by AI, based on 13 opinions in the last 12 months.
Transalta Corp (TA-T) is currently navigating a mixed market sentiment, influenced by its recent strategic acquisitions in Colorado and the broader dynamics of the utilities sector. Experts note the company's trading range and potential breakout possibilities, amid an environment of increasing energy demand, particularly from data centers in Alberta. While some analysts appreciate the long-term growth trajectory suggested by discounted cash flow models and future EPS growth of 50-60%, concerns linger regarding its low dividend yield and the potential impact of interest rate sensitivities. Consequently, although there are positive indicators and excitement around AI-driven power demand, a cautious approach is recommended until the market settles and confirms the value of the recent acquisitions.
Preferred Shares. Will not recover to par at any time soon. The ‘D’ series will not reset to where it should be paying. It pays what it does because of the risk. But he does not think they have a place in your portfolio. There is a lot of term on the stripped coupon bonds so you have interest rate risk.
Just about everybody that is going to sell this, probably already has. Have recently been plagued by lower Alberta prices and uncertainties surrounding costs of environmental regulations that might be brought. Bottom fishing is very hard to do with stocks because you almost always overshoot. He sees the NAV at $15 a share. He models a 69% 2015 estimated payout ratio. 6.5% dividend is safe. Trades at a 2015 estimated free cash yield of 9.6%. If you can hold your nose, this is one that you can incrementally Buy.
He is really looking for companies that have accelerated earnings growth and this company hasn’t had that for some time. What you would have to look at is whether the dividend will be secure. The last thing you want to see is for them to be cutting their dividend. They have got rid of some of their nonproducing assets. If he owned, he would probably continue to Hold after he had done some more work on whether the dividend would be safe.
Had recommended this because it had looked so cheap, but a little while ago, he finally decided to throw in the towel. Their problem is that they have been paying out more than they have been earning. The balance sheet has been slowly slipping. If there is going to be a brighter tomorrow, the analysts who are following the company, are not reflecting it in their earnings forecasts.
Cut the dividend by quite a large margin a few months ago. There isn’t a lot of earnings growth. She doesn’t see good visibility for an increase in dividend. For income, you want to try and identify a dividend paying stock that has a very visible path to increase the dividend over time, so that if rates do start to move up, thde dividend will move along with the rate.