
TSE:TA
This summary was created by AI, based on 13 opinions in the last 12 months.
Transalta Corp (TA-T) has recently been navigating the complexities of the utility market, reflecting mixed sentiments from experts. Some see opportunities in its strategic acquisitions and growth prospects, particularly in the context of rising power demand due to data centers, especially in Alberta. However, concerns arise regarding its low dividend yield of approximately 1.6%, and its stock price trading below the issue price after recent financing efforts. Experts note the utility's underperformance can be attributed to broader market trends favoring high-growth AI stocks at the expense of traditional utilities. While there are points for optimism, particularly with expected earnings growth and beneficial market conditions, many advise caution and recommend monitoring pending developments before making any investment decisions.
Preferred Shares. Will not recover to par at any time soon. The ‘D’ series will not reset to where it should be paying. It pays what it does because of the risk. But he does not think they have a place in your portfolio. There is a lot of term on the stripped coupon bonds so you have interest rate risk.
Just about everybody that is going to sell this, probably already has. Have recently been plagued by lower Alberta prices and uncertainties surrounding costs of environmental regulations that might be brought. Bottom fishing is very hard to do with stocks because you almost always overshoot. He sees the NAV at $15 a share. He models a 69% 2015 estimated payout ratio. 6.5% dividend is safe. Trades at a 2015 estimated free cash yield of 9.6%. If you can hold your nose, this is one that you can incrementally Buy.
He is really looking for companies that have accelerated earnings growth and this company hasn’t had that for some time. What you would have to look at is whether the dividend will be secure. The last thing you want to see is for them to be cutting their dividend. They have got rid of some of their nonproducing assets. If he owned, he would probably continue to Hold after he had done some more work on whether the dividend would be safe.
Had recommended this because it had looked so cheap, but a little while ago, he finally decided to throw in the towel. Their problem is that they have been paying out more than they have been earning. The balance sheet has been slowly slipping. If there is going to be a brighter tomorrow, the analysts who are following the company, are not reflecting it in their earnings forecasts.
You want to own utility stocks for the earnings safety and safety of the dividend. With this one you have none of that. The dividend is not safe and earnings are not growing regularly. They are the opposite of EMA-T which is his favourite. Don’t go near TA-T or its preferreds.