
TSE:TA
This summary was created by AI, based on 13 opinions in the last 12 months.
Transalta Corp (TA-T) is receiving mixed reviews from analysts, highlighting its recent strategic acquisitions in Colorado and the potential for growth due to increased power demand, especially from data centres. While some experts praise its forward-looking growth at attractive valuation metrics compared to its peers, others caution about its relatively low dividend yield and market sentiment that currently favors tech over utilities. Concerns are raised regarding its performance relative to other utilities and its recent stock price performance, which some believe is influenced by investors' flight to AI-focused stocks. Ultimately, while the fundamentals appear solid with plans for expansion and EPS growth, many analysts suggest caution before entering positions until market dynamics stabilize.
A bit of a tough story in the near term. Balance sheet is a little bit levered up and they need to de-lever it. They spun out Transalta Renewables (RNW-T) which unlocked some value. Have a significant amount of assets that they need to drop-down into Transalta Renewables. They’ll take that cash back and de-lever the balance sheet. He thinks they are committed to maintaining an investment grade balance sheet. It is going to take some time for them to work through this cycle, so you are going to have to be patient.
2030 strip bond at 6.2%? With this, you have the coupon payments and you have the bond. Transalta is BB rated and could easily get downgraded to junk in the next couple of years. A junk company could potentially default, and if they do, those interest payments disappear. He would not recommend this company.
His company has this, is a Sector Outperform with medium risk and a $14 target. The issue is that they own the Transalta renewables, and there is a little bit of unknown as to how the transition between the 2 companies, as it passed through some of the earnings. He feels good with the dividend and holds it for the yield. Would be looking to add at some point.
With the current environment in Alberta, he doesn’t see any big driver to put this company forward. Their business has always been the production and sale of energy. It has been a while since they have had positive earnings. Their cash flow does cover the dividend, but overall this company has been a disappointment for a number of years. Dividend of a little over 6% is relatively safe for the time being.
Cut the dividend by quite a large margin a few months ago. There isn’t a lot of earnings growth. She doesn’t see good visibility for an increase in dividend. For income, you want to try and identify a dividend paying stock that has a very visible path to increase the dividend over time, so that if rates do start to move up, thde dividend will move along with the rate.
He divested it. He looks at the sustainability of the dividend and they eventually cut theirs. They are looking at decreasing carbon emissions in Alberta and this will impact TA-T with their power plants.