Suncor Energy Inc (SU.TO)

Probably the best performing oil/gas stock in the last 12 months. Have done a very good job of managing their way through this. Their prices are coming down just like everybody else’s, but they cut their costs back and prudently planned their expansions.

The best of a bad group. The leaders will be the ones to turn. Chart shows a few spots where you can hang your hat on at around $34. This would be a pretty decent level, but you also have to be prepared to pay something that is closer to $30. Chart also shows some overhead resistance, but once it gets above the descending triangle, that would be an indication you could add to this. Consider dividing your position into 3 and putting in an initial position to get close to the Stop level, followed by adding another one. But be prepared to exit there. Add your 3^rd position when it breaks the upper band of the symmetrical triangle.

Has no idea where oil is going to go, so one of the issues is that if oil stays at these levels, a lot of companies are going to have to cut their dividends or disappear. This company has a strong balance sheet. If they have to come to the market, it is going to be a lot easier for them than it would be for a smaller company. Have already gone through some restructuring with their acquisition of Petro Canada, so they were in a better shape when oil prices fell. If you want to be in a great oil company, this is the one that he likes.

Now is probably a better entry point than a year ago. They increased their dividend recently so the dividend looks sustainable. He has CVE-T. He does not think you will go too bad going with any of these companies at this point.

This company showed what a good oil company can do. They raised their dividend because they do have refining capacity. A well positioned company. Large cap companies with good balance sheets can survive very turbulent economic waters.

Canada’s largest integrated oil/gas company. Have significant operations in the oil sands, which is holding them back for the time being, but they make a great deal of their operating profit from downstream operations. Right now refining and margins downstream are doing quite well. Excellent balance sheet with the wherewithal to take advantage of weaker competitors. Likes this as a long-term hold. Dividend yield of 3.35%.

Has always liked this and it is on his list of names to play in the event of a recovery in the next few years. Still sees some downside to it, but they have the downstream assets to offset a lot of the losses that they are seeing in the oil sands. It has all of the things you need in a name if you are investing in a depressed asset. Wait for a better entry point.

If oil goes down and the Cdn$ drops, it is not horrible but you have to have low cost structure. They have discipline on the financial side and have been able to get their costs down by 30% and can actually make money. Yield of 3.39%.

2/3rds of revenue comes from gas sales and refining. These profits have never been better. Drilling and oil sands are what is not doing well. You want to be buying at about $28-31. We are near the bottom of the range.

A high-quality oil sands producer. Good strong balance sheet that is able to withstand a weak environment. Because it is a big liquid oil stock, it is going to get battered around with oil prices. If you have a very long-term time horizon, it will definitely be a survivor. You could add to it or stick your toe in a little, but wouldn’t back up the truck.

Thinks that 6 months from now oil prices will be higher than they are now, but in the interim, they may be lower. The Saudis are pumping to beat the band. With the deal in Iran there is a possibility of more oil coming into the world market. On the other hand, drilling has fallen off and production is starting to drop in North America and inventory levels have been dropping. He would prefer Crescent Point (CPG-T) or PrairieSky Royalty (PSK-T), although this is a very good solid company.

From a Canadian content, this is excellent. If he had to put money into one or 2 energy companies, this would definitely be one.

Owned this for a period of time and did well on it about 18 months to 6 months ago, and then got stopped out. Finds this energy space really frustrating.

Has been writing Covered Calls against most of the oil companies he owns. Likes this as a strategy because if oil companies are doing well, very often the economy is not doing so well. Oil companies tend to be in the top quartile, or certainly in the top half, i.e. higher volatility stocks. He is writing covered calls into December of this year.

Even though oil has fallen a lot, people think this is cheap now, but it is actually trading 8.3X EV to discounted adjusted cash flow. The five-year average is 6.7. This is a great company. They cut their costs a lot. Their oil sands operational expense was $20.40 last quarter, which was much better than he thought. Refining numbers look good. There is steady progress with their mega projects. Most importantly, their debt levels are really, really good. However, cash flows have fallen dramatically. He sees them coming up 2016 over 2015 with $60 oil. He doesn’t think this is game on, unless you have higher oil prices. There are better places elsewhere over the next 12 months.