TSE:SU

Suncor Energy Inc (SU.TO)

96.57
-0.44 (0.45%)
as of Sep 25, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
1173 watching
0
COMMENT

Thinks that Fort Hills and Hebron are slated to come online next year. All indications are that those are well on track. What gives him a little pause is the outlook for downstream earnings, meaning the refineries. He is a little concerned about builds in diesel and gasoline inventories, and very high refinery runs, which could pressure crack spreads going forward.

HOLD

He questions if energy prices are going considerably higher. Realistically energy production has become mass manufacturing. When you drill a hole today, you get a 99.8% chance of success. With that, capital is available if a company could hedge its production above the cost. He thinks it is very possible, around the cost of production, to see the price of oil stall out.

HOLD

They have a massive operation that had to shut down due to wild fires. They raised capital and paid down debt on their balance sheet. Investors don’t understand the potential for free cash flow in the next year. It is quite powerful. It is a good hold here. Management says they could run the business as low as US$30 a barrel.

BUY

Great name. High quality. Has been quite negative on the energy space for 4-5 years now. However, this is one that he has recently added to his portfolios. If looking for a conservative way to start legging into energy, this company does that. Unfortunately, with everything that has happened with Fort Mac, they had to shut down projects. However, overall this is a name that is going to give you exposure to oil prices and the recovery that is slowly taking place. Pays a good dividend.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick July 29/15. Up 8.51%.) He still likes this. This is the benchmark of the Canadian energy market. When there is weakness in the stock, take it is a buying opportunity.

HOLD

This is big and liquid. It is the Canadian oil company that Americans Buy when they want to come in. Not cheap. He feels that oil prices do work their way higher somewhat into the low to mid $50 a year out. If you want to be "cute", you could try to buy it at $35, which would be better.

SELL

It moved up right into May. After this period of seasonal strength it goes lower and it is doing so again this year. You may want to take some profits off the table. This is a high quality company, but you don’t necessarily want to own these companies for a long term.

COMMENT

Suncor (SU-T) or Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ-T). Doesn’t own this, but it is on his potential Buy list. Thinks very highly of management. If he had to choose just one, he would probably go with CNQ.

HOLD

Just did a big equity issue last week to shore up their balance sheet. Because the stock has done quite well, she is waiting for a pullback in energy. A good long term holding. Dividend yield of 3.4%.

COMMENT

Crescent Point (CPG-T) or Suncor (SU-T)? He would choose this one because it is more defensive being integrated and has the refinery assets. Also, if you look at the recent deal that it did, it was just snapped up by the street, so clearly very strong.

COMMENT

Enbridge (ENB-T) or Suncor (SU-T) for a TFSA? With registered money, you put dividend yielders in, and Enbridge is a classic example of a dividend grower, so he would stick with it. This is a good company, but it is an energy company giving you the ups and downs of the oil price.

TOP PICK

Thinks energy prices have bottomed. They bought a very large Canadian Oil Sands (COS-T) Syncrude asset, and then bought out another interest in this company right at the bottom. Thinks this has been held back because of the Canadian wildfire, but that is temporary and they will get operations back to normal. This has tons of leverage to higher oil prices.

SELL

(Market Call Minute.) Thinks this company is going to have a few challenges in integrating their Syncrude assets. It is going to look like a really smart buy if oil prices go materially higher, but without that it is going to just be cash flow.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick July 28/15. Up 5.82%.) These picks were based on survivability, not a growth. He still likes this and thinks it is really making money and reinvesting at a great rate of return. 3.4% dividend yield.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

(Market Call Minute.) A great, long term story. Pristine balance sheet and $4 billion in cash. Any time the stock gets to $30, it is a great, long term hold.

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