
NYSE:STZ
(A Top Pick Feb 24/16. Up 25%.) Switched out of this given that it was a consumer staples name, and into more of the cyclical areas. He still likes the name. Trading at 21X forward earnings with a 17% long-term growth rate. Sales going forward could be challenged by Pres. Trump’s potential policy to raise tariffs on Mexican imports.
This has a number of things in its favour right now. Technically it is in a distinct upward trend, outperforming the market with positive momentum, so the technicals are good. Seasonality is more important, because on a seasonal basis it historically reaches a very important low right around the middle of October, and moves higher right through until the middle of February.
This has had tremendous price momentum. It is really a consolidator of wineries and alcoholic beverages. Valuation is OK. Good ROE’s, a little expensive on EB to EBITDA and Price to Free Cash Flow. They have a decent balance sheet, so can continue their strategy of rolling up smaller competitors. Dividend yield of 1%. Not super cheap.