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NYSE:STZ
(A Top Pick Feb 24/16. Up 25%.) Switched out of this given that it was a consumer staples name, and into more of the cyclical areas. He still likes the name. Trading at 21X forward earnings with a 17% long-term growth rate. Sales going forward could be challenged by Pres. Trump’s potential policy to raise tariffs on Mexican imports.
This has a number of things in its favour right now. Technically it is in a distinct upward trend, outperforming the market with positive momentum, so the technicals are good. Seasonality is more important, because on a seasonal basis it historically reaches a very important low right around the middle of October, and moves higher right through until the middle of February.
This has had tremendous price momentum. It is really a consolidator of wineries and alcoholic beverages. Valuation is OK. Good ROE’s, a little expensive on EB to EBITDA and Price to Free Cash Flow. They have a decent balance sheet, so can continue their strategy of rolling up smaller competitors. Dividend yield of 1%. Not super cheap.
He owned this before they bought in Canopy. They own Corona and other Mexican brands, plus wine. The beers have been growing very well. STZ has one of the best growth rates in a sluggish sector. He isn't a cannabis bull, but he sees upside in this space. (1.4% dividend, Analysts' price target: $242.00)