
TSE:SLF
He prefers Canadian banks over lifecos in Canada. This one has a concern with (MFS), their asset management division, which has continued to see outflows. It is well managed and they put out an okay quarter last night. They missed analysts’ expectations on MFS. Let it check back another dollar or two.
This had a negative US experience, which he sees turning around in the 2nd half. Just missed on the 2nd quarter. The Asian business is doing well being up 16%. He models them growing earnings at 7% compounded annually over the next couple of years. A little more expensive than Manulife (MFC-T), but coming much closer. Longer-term, this is fine. All things being equal, he would be buying it closer to $45.
All the lifecos will be benefiting from rising interest rates. The amazing thing with this company is that they were never hurt during the financial crisis and never had to cut their dividend. Trading at 11X earnings. Great presence in the US and India. At this valuation with a rising dividend and excess capital, we are undoubtedly going to see increasing share buybacks. Dividend yield of 3.7%. (Analysts’ price target is $52.)