
TSE:SLF
This had a negative US experience, which he sees turning around in the 2nd half. Just missed on the 2nd quarter. The Asian business is doing well being up 16%. He models them growing earnings at 7% compounded annually over the next couple of years. A little more expensive than Manulife (MFC-T), but coming much closer. Longer-term, this is fine. All things being equal, he would be buying it closer to $45.
Canadian Banks versus lifecos? He is a bigger fan of the lifecos. Manulife (MFC-T) and Sun Life (SLF-T) are going to get a big boost from rising interest rates. It is already starting to happen. The yield curve is steepening. Lifecos have been suffering and living with low interest rates for a long time. Both companies are also quite global. They have big presences in the US and in Asia. He sees a better earnings growth over the next few years.
He prefers Canadian banks over lifecos in Canada. This one has a concern with (MFS), their asset management division, which has continued to see outflows. It is well managed and they put out an okay quarter last night. They missed analysts’ expectations on MFS. Let it check back another dollar or two.