
TSE:QSR
Probably has the best brand recognition of any company in Canada. Stock has fallen a little bit. Really tied to the average consumer in Canada. Reasonable good story but he is not a big fan of the retail space. You could think about picking it up if it dips further but this is one that doesn’t really excite him.
Stock has come off quite a bit from its high and thinks it is really a bargain at this price. There are a lot of stores, but there is room to expand the menu, which is what they are working on. Also, the US is fertile ground. Have done better in the US than most Canadian retailers. Same-store sales have been okay, but not stellar, which pressured the stock. It is now a yield stock and a dividend grower.
Normally trades at around 20X forward earnings but right now is trading at around 16X. Last quarter they had same-store sales that were a little bit less but he thinks their average spend per unit was actually higher. Fragmented market place in Canada. Own 42% of the market and there is still opportunity for growth. Obviously the US is a pretty big growth market for them. The problem is that EBITDA margins shrank last quarter year-over-year 1.19%. If they can reverse that, then it would be a Buy.
Thinks the story is decelerating. Facing more challenges in Canada, McDonald’s notwithstanding. Facing higher prices. The US business is actually picking up in terms of same-store sales. Hopefully this will be able to offset some of the weakness in Canada. Valuation is too high for what they are. Seems to be taking forever to find a new CEO.
One of the issues with this company is that they have not made tremendous headway in their brand recognition in the US. Main strategy seems to be to increase same-store sales in Canada. Trading around 18X earnings and long-term growth is about 12%. Still a little expensive. Would prefer others. (See Top Picks.)