PotashCorp (POT.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

PotashCorp (POT.TO)

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TOP PICK

Has just bought 10% stake in China's Sinochem Corp's fertilizer business. Saskatchewan has opened up new potash mining to increase supply. It will all get taken up.

WAIT

A strong company in a sector that is going through a correction. Although chemicals in general have been difficult Potash (POT-T) and Agrium (AGU-T) have been bucking the trend. It looks as though there is a strong and steady growing demand for fertilizers and these companies are big beneficiaries. Would love to add, but in a stronger market.

BUY

Likes this sector. A cheap way to get into the resources sector. This applies to Agrium (AGU-T), Potash (POT-T), Nova Chemicals (NCX-T), or Methanex (MX-T).

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Feels it should continue to rise. It has tripled in the last year and a half, so be a little cautious. The stock might consolidate here for awhile. Potash price continues to be strong. Positive for the long term. Try to buy around $100.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Had a wonderful run, but right now is starting to get a little tired. A little bit of consolidation and correction, maybe towards the $90, wouldn't be a surprise. Believes the stock can go significantly higher after some correction.

WATCH

Long term prospects are "bright" Even with dollar moving up we are still competitive, but it does affect the bottom line. So I wouldn't rush out to buy it yet.

BUY

Likes the long term view of potash and thinks there's going to be a lot of growth. The market in this is concentrated and controlled by a few players. Looked at this company and decided to go with an Israeli company that is trading at about 1/3 of the multiple.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Very highly correlated with natural gas prices, so dropped with that. Also grain prices in the US have been hitting lows lately which makes you wonder if farmers are going to be planting extra this year. Use any further weakness to buy.

BUY

Went up so much and so fast wouldn't be surprised that a lot of profit taking has taken place. An excellent company with a great future.

DON'T BUY

A cyclical stock. Had a great run. Looks like fertizer is hitting a peak.

SELL

Their is a commodity related spike based on high commodity price, falling US$ and perhaps seasonality in potash. Always a fan of selling on the spikes.

BUY

A cyclical stock, so not a long term hold. Believes we are in a super cycle of commodities that will last longer than a nornal cycle. They are a big beneficiary of high natural gas prices.

STRONG BUY

A really interesting company. Into a real super cycle. International demand for potash is growing. Getting into longer term contracts. The lowest cost producer.

BUY

A great investment. Have great reserves. Price compared to its power of earnings, looks expensive, but there are reasons. A long term hold.

WEAK BUY

Well managed and currently is profitable, concerned on the cyclical nature. Closer to the peak than the trough.

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PotashCorp (POT.TO)