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TSE:POT

PotashCorp (POT.TO)

BUY
Sees a lot more upside to this one. Has the advantage of the Alberta/Saskatchewan cheaper gas for its cost input.
SHORT
Q: Good one to short? A: Has it is a short herself. Would wait for a bounce. Fundamentals are not great as there is lots of new potash capacity being brought on stream. Some negotiations have not gone well.
BUY
In a great position. Produces a lot of free cash flow. The situation currently is, will China agree to buy more and at what price. They’re negotiating now.
WEAK BUY
There is continuing demand for fertiliser. Very well run company with a clean balance sheet. There is a lot of volatility in these prices soar in the near term, it could go down but okay for a long-term hold. Would prefer it in the $80 level.
WAIT
Had a major move and has probably over exhausted itself. It turned around and started to sell off to the $85 mark which was a good correction. It is still below its 200 day moving average, trying to find a base. Look at it again in six months.
BUY
The high price of natural gas has been hitting them pretty hard. Some of its competitors have been getting out of the market so their market share has increased. Likes this stock.
BUY
This stock had got a way ahead of itself. Thinks it is now through its bottom. There is still huge offshore demand. Expect it will move back through $100 certainly.
DON'T BUY
On both Agrium (AGU-T) and Potash (POT) it is an expensive story. The imput costs makes it more difficult for them. Trades at too high a multiple.
HOLD
Thinks the stock has come off a little bit when the potash numbers came out and were negative on the industry.
BUY
Not sure why the market has been so hostile to the fertilizer stocks, particularly as the upside remains pretty strong. There is a lot of concern on the amount of energy that has to be put into fertilizer. This is possibly a “trading buy” here. Would prefer Agrium (AGU-T), which is the cheaper and more conservative of the two.
WAIT
Looks pretty good in terms of its ROE and profit growth rates. Currently it has negative pricing. If he saw improvement in price momentum over the next month or two, he would be all over this one.
BUY
There are a lot of analysts saying that fertilizer is a good place to be. This one in particular is extremely well positioned. Taking a serious look at this one. It’s probably closer to it’s bottom than it is to its top.
HOLD
This stock has had a beutiful run over the last few years. There were rumors of a substantial increase in the potash market by competitors. Long term it could do very well because it is one of the prime potash producers of the world. Feels it is too expensive now.
DON'T BUY
Its mean price is lower than its current price and this can drop further. Expectations are so high on certain stock/sectors, they are almost doomed to failure.
DON'T BUY
Long term, it looks very good, however all the fertilizer, chemical companies are having a difficult time over the last couple of months. Will need to do some work and firm up a little bit.
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