Great company. There have been improvements in margins, all-time high in order books and improving their debt. Possibly start paying dividends because of their large cash flow.
Even though he is not a momentum person, this is a momentum play. Likes the business model and how they have installed their subscriber base globally. Penetration rate for this type of product is very interesting. Likes to buy on weakness.
If he owned, he would lighten up at this time. There are still question marks on this company. New management has been pretty clear on what they intend to do with the company. There are uncertainties around their plans.
Would recommend holding this is a core position in your portfolio. This is one that he would not trade. Very impressed with the performance of this company.
Q: - Why is it selling at 22X earnings versus Petro Canada (PCA-T) at 8X earnings? A: - Because of quality of assets and their oil sands reserves as well as the results by both companies and the perception by investors. He feels that now is the time to be selling energy stocks, which would include both of these companies.
He assumes that the deal has a probability of success greater than 50% at $42.75. There could be glitches such as postponements, re-pricing or cancellation. If the latter, price could drop to $26 but would eventually recover to its true value of $32.
Increase in stock relies on many factors including wireless business, where the Source license will go and also what happens to Bell Canada (BCE-T). If the BCE deal goes through, what will the new management have on the telecom landscape.
Trading at 40X forward earnings and 3.3X price to book. Price/earnings on this type of company is not as important as others because it is a portfolio of activities. The company has done great things. A core holding you should have in your portfolio. 1.5% dividend yield.
Very attractive at the current price especially in this environment where there is a fight between Hewlett-Packard (HP-N) and IBM (IBM-N). Generates good cash flow.