
NASDAQ:PLTR
Now becoming a core player in AI decision-making. New AI platform driving over 40% revenue growth YOY. US government continues to rely heavily on it for defense and intelligence software. Government sales up more than 50%, and commercial adoption accelerating. PE ratio more than 600x. Value: 2/10.
Hold, or take some profits off the table. On a healthy pullback, she'd take a look at it.
It reports after the closing bell. Owns a small position. A year ago, they were all-in with AI. They already had a proven track record with government. She expects 38% and 53% revenue and earnings growth this quarter. The chart looks exponential, but it will march higher tomorrow. PLTR is one of the few companies implementing AI, a rare pure-play.
Valuation has expanded, business is growing. Look at selling a covered call. The thing is that all that volatility has made the options very expensive. Looking out to September, you can sell a $175 call for $8.15. That's 5% of the current share price for $15 of upside. Worst case is that somebody buys your position at a $15 increase, but you keep the $8.15 no matter what.
PLTR's numbers were solid: 63% revenue growth, high margins, strong balance sheet, and guidance was raised. Business is good. But the stock dropped, on usual valuation concerns. Also, Michael Burry (famous from 'The Big Short') has bet against the company, and this has worried some investors. EPS of 21c beat estimates of 17c; revenue of $1.18B beat estimates of $1.09B. EBITDA of $606B beat estimates by 21%. Palantir's accelerated sales cycle continues to be fueled by expanding use of its Ontology product with large language models for mission-critical applications. US Commercial customer growth eased slightly to 9% sequentially vs. 12% in the prior two quarters, while remaining deal value growth improved to 30% in 3Q from 20% in 2Q, indicating larger up-front orders. The net retention rate climbed to 134%, with strong results in the Government segment serving as a key driver. Though Palantir's Commercial segment gains outside the US remain tepid, the company likely lifted its US win rates against traditional data-warehousing vendors by using its Ontology offering to differentiate integrations with frontier LLM providers.
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