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Palantir Technologies
PLTR-Q
BUY
Jun 06, 2025
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Forget what you paid for something, as that's anchoring to the past. Loves the products, they're spookily clever. But the PE is 200x, so you have to believe that growth continues for 10-20 years without competition or economic slowdown. Be mindful of position size, given the valuation. Businesses can compress their multiples quite easily, without the news getting bad.
He'd take more than a little off the table.
Premium contentPalantir Technologies Inc. is a pioneering data analytics company that provides software solutions to a broad range of industries, including government, finance, healthcare, and manufacturing. Established in 2003, the company has grown to become a prominent player in the data analytics field, offering platform solutions that enable organizations to effectively integrate, visualize, and analyze large volumes of data. Palantir's key products include Palantir Gotham, Palantir Metropolis, and Palantir Foundry. Social media mentions are up 5.1% in the past 24h.
Valuation has expanded, business is growing. Look at selling a covered call. The thing is that all that volatility has made the options very expensive. Looking out to September, you can sell a $175 call for $8.15. That's 5% of the current share price for $15 of upside. Worst case is that somebody buys your position at a $15 increase, but you keep the $8.15 no matter what.
It reports after the closing bell. Owns a small position. A year ago, they were all-in with AI. They already had a proven track record with government. She expects 38% and 53% revenue and earnings growth this quarter. The chart looks exponential, but it will march higher tomorrow. PLTR is one of the few companies implementing AI, a rare pure-play.
At 205X earnings, the stock is vulnerable to sentiment swings, as we saw on Thursday with politicians worrying about it having 'too much power'. In a way, though, this exemplifies how well it has done, and its potential moat. It seems to have a better AI/data mousetrap, and can solve company and government problems effectively and cheaply. We admire what the company has done and its growth and its outlook potential. BUT....it has also become somewhat of a 'cult' stock. The CEO is brilliant, but also perhaps a little crazy (not necessary in a bad way!). Everyone loves it right now, but this is dangerous if the love affair goes the wrong way or a company problem develops. Even at half the valuation, it is still very expensive. So investors we think need to be prepared, as this is a stock that could decline 50%, pretty much overnight, on some bad news. We think sizing a position correctly to reflect this makes sense, and trimming into more declines to maintain a position, but also to manage risks. We do think it will be higher in five years: but it may be all over the map during that time.
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