Opinions Stockchase Insights
Palantir TechnologiesPLTRBUYJun 06, 2025
Stockchase InsightsStock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 10, 2026. Market Open.
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Executing well. Increasingly employing AI in day-to-day operations. Growing use in government/defense plus strong adoption by commercial customers.
Proving it can turn demand into profit and cashflow. Revenue grew an exceptional 85% last quarter. Valuation remains her biggest concern (roughly 40x next year's sales), leaving little room for disappointment/error. Be cautious.
The only software name he owns. Beaten down because it's put in the software bucket, plus relatively expensive compared to peers. Sometimes you have to pay up for a best-in-class asset. Last quarter's numbers blew it out of the water. Growing 80% YOY, very profitable.
Accelerating commercial revenue on top of government contracts. Helping companies adopt AI.
Nick Mersch, CFA
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Premium contentLast year, the company generated 4.48 B USD, the most of which — 2.40 B USD — came from its top-performing segment, Government, compared to 1.57 B USD the previous year. The greatest contribution came from United States, which accounted for 3.32 B USD last year, with 1.90 B USD the year before. Social media mentions are up 325% in the past 24h.
Only drawback is that the stock's very expensive. So there's no good valuation support, and she doesn't own it.
But nothing really wrong with the story, so she wouldn't recommend a Sell. If you liked it a month ago, nothing has changed. Pretty well positioned on defense. Fundamentals are in favour of it, so she'd hold.
For these high-beta stocks, you can't be getting nervous about them. If you don't want to stomach the high volatility, look for a more diversified solution or for a stock that's less volatile.
At 205X earnings, the stock is vulnerable to sentiment swings, as we saw on Thursday with politicians worrying about it having 'too much power'. In a way, though, this exemplifies how well it has done, and its potential moat. It seems to have a better AI/data mousetrap, and can solve company and government problems effectively and cheaply. We admire what the company has done and its growth and its outlook potential. BUT....it has also become somewhat of a 'cult' stock. The CEO is brilliant, but also perhaps a little crazy (not necessary in a bad way!). Everyone loves it right now, but this is dangerous if the love affair goes the wrong way or a company problem develops. Even at half the valuation, it is still very expensive. So investors we think need to be prepared, as this is a stock that could decline 50%, pretty much overnight, on some bad news. We think sizing a position correctly to reflect this makes sense, and trimming into more declines to maintain a position, but also to manage risks. We do think it will be higher in five years: but it may be all over the map during that time.
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