Stock price when the opinion was issued
Quite the high flyer. Valuation of 177x forward PE keeps him at bay. EPS forecast growth rate ~31%. Priced for perfection. Decent numbers at last report, guided higher, yet shares fell -- sign that investors are looking for results beyond perfection. Near all-time highs. Heavy reliance on large government contracts.
Well-run, and produces superior technology that pays for itself almost immediately. They have a strong defence business. Growth and margins are expanding. But shares trade at 220x earnings--ridiculously expensive. But traders don't care. PLTR is the most successful speculative stock. He targets $200, seriously. Take profits before you get hurt, because someone always does in a spec stock.
Well-run, and produces superior technology that pays for itself almost immediately. They have a strong defence business. Growth and margins are expanding. But shares trade at 220x earnings--ridiculously expensive. But traders don't care. PLTR is the most successful speculative stock. He targets $200, seriously. Take profits before you get hurt, because someone always does in a spec stock.
One of his most tech-savvy friends described PLTR to him: consulting with AI. Often takes data from multiple, disparate sources, pulls it together, and lets the analytics take over. Very cool YouTube videos :)
There is no fundamental grounding for this stock whatsoever. It's a story stock, a cult stock. There are no valuation parameters to make sense of what you're paying for it. Astronomically expensive.
At 205X earnings, the stock is vulnerable to sentiment swings, as we saw on Thursday with politicians worrying about it having 'too much power'. In a way, though, this exemplifies how well it has done, and its potential moat. It seems to have a better AI/data mousetrap, and can solve company and government problems effectively and cheaply. We admire what the company has done and its growth and its outlook potential. BUT....it has also become somewhat of a 'cult' stock. The CEO is brilliant, but also perhaps a little crazy (not necessary in a bad way!). Everyone loves it right now, but this is dangerous if the love affair goes the wrong way or a company problem develops. Even at half the valuation, it is still very expensive. So investors we think need to be prepared, as this is a stock that could decline 50%, pretty much overnight, on some bad news. We think sizing a position correctly to reflect this makes sense, and trimming into more declines to maintain a position, but also to manage risks. We do think it will be higher in five years: but it may be all over the map during that time.
Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
A note regarding shock events: Going back to the 1940's the average return after a shock event is up 7 1/2% 12 months later. She sees good growth with its powerful AI centres and increasing revenue. It is in the volatile tech space and trades at a premium of 60X earnings. It has long term contracts with revenue growth of 40% year over year. However she sees a downside price of 25% and there has been some insider selling.
Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE: PLTR) is a public American software and services company specializing in big data analytics. Founded in 2003 and headquartered in Denver, Colorado, the company’s primary revenue streams come from government and commercial sectors. They offer platforms for integrating, visualizing, and analyzing data, and their clientele includes various government agencies and private organizations worldwide. Palantir's technology has been instrumental in projects involving counter-terrorism, fraud prevention, and enhancing data-driven decision-making. Social media mentions are up 6.7% in the past 24h.