
NYSE:PFE
Yield is about 4% and the stock is selling at about $33, so he sees a skinny into the low $40’s. They’ve struggled for the last 2 years because blockbuster drugs have come off patent, but they are using financial engineering to continue to push the company forward. Have made several acquisitions of new and upcoming companies with some very interesting drugs. A very low risk way of playing the healthcare industry. There is more upside than downside.
Likes the valuation. Trading at around 13X next year’s earnings. This has a history from 2010 to 2015, subject to a big patent cliff, where they had significant declines in revenues. They’ve filled out their pipeline. Has 140 drugs that are over $100 million in revenues. 8 are blockbusters with over $1 billion in revenues. Likes the valuation and the yield.
He is bullish on this. It is all about risk/reward. The company has an infrastructure, in terms of its sales force, that is unmatched. They have a very pristine balance sheet. Wonderful research and development operations. Very attractive dividend at close to 4%. It will likely outperform the Dow over the next 12-18 months.
You have to be careful of healthcare names. It looks like Trump has a bit of a target on these. Even without Trump, this company has an underwhelming pipeline of drugs that are coming through, and that is the issue that is hitting them. Trading at about 13X earnings, but its growth rate has come down to very, very low single digits. An unexciting drug pipeline is probably going to hold it back.
This had a patent cliff with Wyatt a couple of years ago, which had a lot of promising new drugs. They have a huge amount of assets overseas in cash, which they would love to bring back, but taxation rates to bring that back are very, very high. Under the Trump administration, it is expected that that is going to change and the tax rate is going to plummet, making a lot of sense for US drug companies to bring money back in, which they can use for share buybacks, acquisitions or pumping up R&D. Dividend yield of 3.96%. (Analysts’ price target is $37.42.)
Not a fan. Once they started to lose Lipitor off patent, they started to scramble with acquisitions to try to diversify their base. They haven’t come up with any huge blockbusters, and for the most part it has just been a struggling stock. They don’t generate continuing free cash flow, and the growth rate is only 2%-3%, and inflation is going to wipe that out.
This has suffered like other pharmaceutical companies from the perception that there is going to be a lot of pricing pressure and a lot of negative sentiment. With the recent change in the US, and the Trump administration poised to have a more supportive regulatory environment, this is a pretty interesting opportunity. Trading at 13X forward earnings with a dividend yield of 3.8%.
This is inexpensive trading around 12.5X forward earnings. There are some patents coming off including Viagra and some pain medication. Made a couple of acquisitions. Expect it will be a flat environment for the next year. Decent dividend yield.