
NYSE:PFE
He would not be a buyer. The company has a fairly well-defined top, about $2 higher than what it is right now. Also doesn't have a lot of FMV potential. The stock has been struggling to get higher and it hasn't been dynamic. Thinks that when it hits technical resistance and FMV resistance at the same time, it's toast. If you own, you could hold it for another $1, but that would be it.
Has a lot of money parked offshore, which they can now repatriate and do M&A with. They need M&A because they have a lacklustre pipeline of drugs. The stock has been dead money for 5 years. Trading at 13.5X PE, and the market trades at about 19X PE Forward. Very cheap. They’re growing the dividend and are buying back stock. EPS should go up, because of stock buybacks. Thinks the stock will be going up 15% because of all the tailwinds. Dividend yield of 3.7%. (Analysts' price target is $39.)
With everybody aging, pharmaceuticals should be a place to be. However, they’re all struggling, coming up with new drugs, which are getting more and more expensive to do the R&D for. Cash flow is hurting all of them. They are facing a very tough regulatory environment. The only way this company has been able to grow is to make acquisitions. He struggles with the whole sector.
One of the great American pharmaceutical stocks. A little cheaper than a lot of them. They don’t have a whole series of blockbusters hitting the lights out, but have a very diverse product line. They’ve made some acquisitions and will make more. Extremely well-managed. Believes it can drift towards the low $40. A good solid Buy and Hold. Dividend yield of 3.6%.
A Pharma US stock with dividends and growth. PFE-T is the one he would recommend. It is a very well run company with a steady dividend and a good pipeline of new drugs. It has pretty good shareholder friendly management that buy back stock and create value. It is his favourite way to participate in aging demographics.
In the 90s, drug companies traded at 30X earnings with 10% earnings growth. All the drug companies are suffering badly because they are not getting a good return on R&D. Every country is putting pressure on pharmaceutical prices. This is trading at 20X earnings and has lots of free cash flow, but the drug sector is simply a very difficult place to be.
Has owned this for a long time. Rates of return over the last 5 or 6 years have been mediocre. Trading at $36, and his model price is $45.72, a 27% upside. Pays a 3.56% dividend. They have been totally incompetent. If rates of return ever kept up with the rest of the drug space, he would buy it here and hold it, but it is a frustrating stock.
The trouble with these kind of drug companies is that they made lots of acquisitions, which is how they have grown. Many were considered growth companies because they came out with social drugs, and ended up with huge multiples. There are lots of good things in their pipeline, but there are not going to be these massive, massive blockbuster drugs they used to have.