Stock price when the opinion was issued
Did everything right, yet down today ~4%. Expectations have been set very high for the traditional growthy and earnings momentum names. If everybody owns the stock, what's your next move? Someone out there didn't like what they saw and hit the sell button, and then it's just investor psychology at work.
He wrote a covered call on half his position before the report. Sold to open the July 25th $1,245 strike for $57 or 130% annualized (1-week calls). Close this morning at the open for $12 and netted $45 profit. Loves it long term, hold forever.
They just reported. They grew revenues by 16%, slightly beating, revenue growth is driven by higher subscription prices, and operating margins beat slightly. Blockbuster releases included season 2 of Squid Games and the new Tyler Perry movie. They also gave great guidance for this quarter. But expectations were sky high, and audience engagement as up only 1% this year, disappointing the street, which thought future growth could slow. They sold off, because shares came into the quarter too hot. The conference call outlined exciting growth to come, including use of AI they just started to use in content. Remains best of breed in streaming.
Leader in the streaming market. Content library continues to grow, with local content in different countries, and that's supporting rapid international growth. Revenue for fiscal 2026 expected to exceed $50B USD, driven by global expansion. Ad-supported tier has been very successful, as has password-sharing crackdown. Strong financial performance, with revenues accelerating and margins expanding.
40x forward PE, but 27-30% expected growth rate. Tech company, but great valuation. No dividend.
They delivered a blowout Q4: a big revenue beat and EPS, up 102%, strong margins despite expensive shows. cash flow of $1.38 billion, revenue 16% YOY, and 18.91 million new subscribers vs. the expected 10 million. However, guidance was mixed, with the forecast in the current quarter below expectations, but they slightly raised full-year 2025 in revenue and operating margin. They're running circles around the competition. Their hits: Squid Game 2, Carry-On, and NFL on Christmas Day. Their ad-supported tier accounted for 55% of sign-ups in Q4. This has more momentum than he's ever seen.